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Model 1.2

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Gol Gohar v Arkadag

Gol Gohar
13:45Upcoming
Arkadag

AFC Champions League Two · WED 28 OCT · Gol Gohar Sport Complex

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Gol GoharDrawArkadag
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:45
Before kick-off · Match result · Arkadag 36%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Arkadag just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Gol Gohar 32%, draw 31%, Arkadag 36%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Gol Gohar v ArkadagBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Gol Gohar win32%
Draw31%
Arkadag win36%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:45

RoundGroup stage · matchday 3

VenueGol Gohar Sport Complex

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gol Gohar

Arkadag

5Days since last match14

Last match: 23 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro League

Last match: 14 Oct · AFC Champions League Two

3Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Group B

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Arkadag203
4Gol Gohar2−21

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · arkadag winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
36% The market–
Us36%

We make Arkadag a 36% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Gol Gohar v Arkadag0.98 – 1.06
Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 12 AugW0 D1 L1 · W2 D0 L1
Table places · points 1 v 34 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 03:23
Our probability · Arkadag win

Published at 33%, 36% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Gol Gohar win32%––
Draw31%––
Arkadag win36%––
Over 2.5 goals34%––
Both teams to score41%––
Over 1.5 goals61%––
Over 3.5 goals15%––
Gol Gohar or draw64%––
Gol Gohar clean sheet35%––
Arkadag clean sheet37%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.0%
0123450 13.4 13.3 7.3 2.6 1 12.3 14.0 7.2 2.5 2 6.3 6.6 3.5 3 2.1 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Gol Gohar down, Arkadag across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 12 Aug

GOL GOHAR

DL0–0 · 0–2

ARKADAG

WWL3–0 · 1–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27 · Group B
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al-Jazira2+14
2Arkadag203
3Muharraq2+13
4Gol Gohar2−21

The competition's standings before kick-off.