Al Taawon v Al-Rayyan SC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Taawon win at 40%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Al Taawon was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–25–34
3. 1′KICK-OFF Al Taawon v Al-Rayyan SC
4. 17′🟨 YELLOW · 16' Faris Al-Ghamdi · Al Taawon
5. 20′We published Al Taawon at 40%. Our model now makes it 87%. 2–0 · 87–9–4
6. 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Al Taawon 2–0 Al-Rayyan SC
7. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Al Taawon win: 40% at kick-off, 87% now
8. 21′Al Taawon ahead on 19′ through Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi. 2–0. 2–0 · 87–9–4
9. 25′We published Al Taawon at 40%. Our model now makes it 68%. 1–0 · 68–20–12
10. 25′GOAL DISALLOWED · 25' Al Taawon
11. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Al Taawon win: 40% at kick-off, 68% now
12. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 68–21–11
13. 32′We said Al Taawon at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–23–64
14. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Al Taawon 1–2 Al-Rayyan SC
15. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Al Taawon win: 40% at kick-off, 14% now
16. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Al-Rayyan SC win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Al Taawon win 14%)
17. 33′Ahmed Al-Ganehi scores for Al-Rayyan SC on 32′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 36–33–31
18. 33′GOAL DISALLOWED · 33' Al-Rayyan SC
19. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Al Taawon win: 40% at kick-off, 36% now
20. 38′We published Al Taawon at 40%. Our model now makes it 70%. 2–1 · 70–21–10
21. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Al Taawon 2–1 Al-Rayyan SC · Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi
22. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Al Taawon win: 40% at kick-off, 70% now
23. 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Al Taawon win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Al-Rayyan SC win 10%)
24. 39′38′ and it is 2–1: Younes El Bahraoui on the scoresheet for Al Taawon. 2–1 · 70–21–10
25. 40′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 70–21–9
26. 45′HALF-TIME Al Taawon 2–1 Al-Rayyan SC
27. 46′SECOND HALF Al Taawon 2–1 Al-Rayyan SC
28. 58′We published Al Taawon at 40%. Our model now makes it 75%. 2–1 · 75–20–5
29. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Al-Rayyan SC · On: Aleksandar Mitrović · Off: Wesley Ribeiro Silva
30. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Al-Rayyan SC · On: Gregore de Magalhães da Silva · Off: Ahmed Al-Ganehi
31. 69′We published Al Taawon at 40%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
32. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Al Taawon win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
33. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Al Taawon · On: Mohammed Al-Aqel · Off: Rakan Al Tulayhi
34. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Al Taawon · On: Nedim Bajrami · Off: Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi
35. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Abdulrahman Hendi · Al Taawon
36. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Al Taawon · On: Parfait Guiagon · Off: Younes El Bahraoui
37. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Al Taawon · On: Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji · Off: Abdulrahman Hendi
38. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Al-Rayyan SC · On: Khalid Ali Sabah · Off: Julien De Sart
39. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Al-Rayyan SC · On: Ahmed Alaaeldin · Off: Gabriel Pereira
40. 82′We published Al Taawon at 40%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
41. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Al Taawon win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
42. 89′We published Al Taawon at 40%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
43. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Al-Rayyan SC · On: Jassem Gaber · Off: André Amaro
44. FTFULL TIME Al Taawon 2–1 Al-Rayyan SC
45. FTAl Taawon 2–1 Al-Rayyan SC · Al Taawon win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.