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Model 1.2

Home › Football › AFC Champions League Two › Al Shorta v Al Hussein

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Al Shorta v Al Hussein

Al Shorta
18:15Upcoming
Al Hussein

AFC Champions League Two · TUE 27 OCT · Al Zawraa Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al ShortaDrawAl Hussein
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:15
Before kick-off · Match result · Al Shorta 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Shorta are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Shorta 39%, draw 32%, Al Hussein 29%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Al Shorta v Al HusseinBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 03:41 · locked at kick-off

Al Shorta win39%
Draw32%
Al Hussein win29%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 18:15

RoundGroup stage · matchday 3

VenueAl Zawraa Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Shorta

Al Hussein

4Days since last match5

Last match: 23 Oct · Iraqi League

Last match: 22 Oct · League

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Group D

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Al Hussein2+34

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al shorta winFirst published 21 Oct 03:41 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
39% The market–
Us39%

We make Al Shorta a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Al Shorta v Al Hussein1.07 – 0.88
Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 16 SeptW2 D0 L0 · W1 D1 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40% 21 OCT 03:4125 OCT 02:27
Our probability · Al Shorta win

Published at 35%, 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Shorta win39%––
Draw32%––
Al Hussein win29%––
Over 2.5 goals31%––
Both teams to score39%––
Over 1.5 goals59%––
Over 3.5 goals13%––
Al Shorta or draw71%––
Al Shorta clean sheet41%––
Al Hussein clean sheet34%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.8%
0123450 14.7 12.1 5.5 1 14.8 13.8 5.9 2 8.1 7.2 3.2 3 2.9 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Shorta down, Al Hussein across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 16 Sept

AL SHORTA

WW1–0 · 3–2

AL HUSSEIN

DW2–2 · 3–0

The table

2026/27 · Group D
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Shorta2+26
2Al Hussein2+34
3East Bengal2−11
4Al Seeb2−40

The competition's standings before kick-off.