Al Seeb v Al Hussein prediction · AFC Champions League Two

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 19:32

Al Seeb 0–3 Al Hussein AL HUSSEIN WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Al Hussein win~~43%

~~The market said~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.491

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.574

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 25 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Al Hussein win at 43%.
2′A goal for Al Seeb on 2′ — 0–0. 0–0 · 30–27–43
2′KICK-OFF Al Seeb v Al Hussein
3′Little has changed for our model: Al Hussein 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 30–27–43
41′⚽ GOAL · 42' Al Seeb 0–0 Al Hussein · Aref Al-Haj
42′Aref Al-Haj scores for Al Hussein on 42′ — 0–0. 0–0 · 26–39–35
43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Al Hussein win 35%)
45′We said Al Hussein at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–19–75
45′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 6–19–75
45′HALF-TIME Al Seeb 0–1 Al Hussein
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Al Seeb 0–1 Al Hussein · Aref Al-Haj
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Al Hussein win: 43% at kick-off, 75% now
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Al Hussein win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Draw 19%)
46′SECOND HALF Al Seeb 0–1 Al Hussein
55′We said Al Hussein at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 0–2 · 1–4–96
55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Al Seeb 0–2 Al Hussein · Aref Al-Haj
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Al Hussein win: 43% at kick-off, 96% now
56′55′ and it is 0–2: Aref Al-Haj on the scoresheet for Al Hussein. 0–2 · 1–4–96
59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Al Seeb · On: Abdulaziz Al Balushi · Off: Hassan Al Ajmi Corrected
59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Al Seeb · On: Obus Prince Aggreh · Off: Abdul Aziz Al-Muqbali
60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Al Seeb · On: Obus Prince Aggreh · Off: Abdul Aziz Al-Muqbali
61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Al Seeb · On: Abdulaziz Al Balushi · Off: Jawad Al Azi
68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Al Hussein · On: Salah Al Din Al Farash · Off: Yousef Qashi
69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Al Hussein · On: Ahmad Abdallh Alsalman · Off: Yousef Abu Al-Jazar
70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Al Hussein · On: Saleem Obaid · Off: Pedro Henrique
73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Aref Al-Haj · Al Hussein
74′Al Seeb have had 11.0 attempts to 6.0 and it is still 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Al Seeb · On: Abdul Mageed Abdul Hafidh Abdul Majeed Al Balushi · Off: Austin oladapo
78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Al Hussein · On: Adham Mohammad Salem Al Quraishi · Off: Ahmad Assaf
80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Al Hussein · On: Brayan Riascos · Off: Masoud Juma Choka
81′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Obus Prince Aggreh · Al Seeb
82′We said Al Hussein at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Al Seeb 0–3 Al Hussein · Aref Al-Haj
83′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–0–100
83′⚽ GOAL · 82' Al Seeb 0–3 Al Hussein · Aref Al-Haj
84′Al Hussein ahead on 82′ through Aref Al-Haj. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Al Seeb 0–3 Al Hussein
FTAl Seeb 0–3 Al Hussein · Al Hussein win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 16:14 · locked at kick-off

Al Seeb win30%

Draw27%

Al Hussein win43%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 17:00

VenueSeeb Stadium

Line-ups

Al Seeb

4-2-3-1

Al Hussein

5-4-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Al Seeb

Al Hussein

27Days since last match27

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Al Hussein	1	0	1
29	Al Seeb	1	−1	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Al Seeb

4-2-3-1

1 Ibrahim Al Mukhaini

22 Hassan Al Ajmi

5 Musab Al Shaqsy

13 Mohammed Al Musalami

42 Jawad Al Azi

19 A. Oladapo

17 Ali Al Busaidi

9 Abdul Aziz Al-Muqbali

20 Omer Al Malki

7 Zaher Al Aghbari

11 A. Méyé

Coach · Goran Miscevic

Substitutes

10 · Abdul Mageed Abdul Hafidh Abdul Majeed Al Balushi

18 · Muatasim Al Wahaibi

23 · Mulham Yousuf Rabia Al Sinaidi

4 · Majid Al Saadi

8 · Ahmed Ali Said Al Riyami

30 · Fahad Khamis Juma Al Mukhaini

2 · Mohamed Ramadhan

99 · Obus Prince Aggreh

33 · Abdulaziz Al Balushi

16 · Issa Ahmed Humaid Al Buraidi

88 · Eyad Khamis Salim Khalfan

80 · Abdulhadi Abi Waqas Dhahi Gharib Al Breiki

Al Hussein

5-4-1

1 Yazid Abu Layla

66 A. Assaf

3 Abdallah Naseeb

23 Yousef Abu Al Jazar

2 Pedro Henrique

33 Ali Ahmad Hajabi

34 M. Rayhi

8 Yousef Qashi

80 Mahmoud Aqel

7 Aref Al-Haj

16 M. Juma

Coach · Ashraf Kasem

Substitutes

94 · B. Riascos

21 · Saleem Obaid

10 · M. Khrouba

70 · Moamen Al-Saket

24 · Salah Al Din Al Farash

17 · Adham Mohammad Salem Al Quraishi

20 · Ahmad Al-Salman

9 · Mahmoud Muhannad Mahmoud Al Tmaizi

14 · A. Bani

11 · O. Al Namarneh

22 · Mahmoud Al Kawamleh

6 · H. Z. Al Mbaidin

Our number · al hussein winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 16:14 · locked at kick-off

43% The market38%

Us43%

~~Market~~38%

We make Al Hussein a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · al hussein win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Seeb win	30%	34%	−4
Draw	27%	28%	0
Al Hussein win	43%	38%	+5
Over 2.5 goals	46%	54%	−8
Both teams to score	51%	58%	−8
Over 1.5 goals	72%	76%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	24%	34%	−9
Al Seeb or draw	57%	62%	−5
Al Seeb clean sheet	25%	–	–
Al Hussein clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%

0123450 8.6 10.9 7.9 3.7 1 8.7 13.1 8.8 4.1 2 5.1 7.1 4.9 2.3 3 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Seeb down, Al Hussein across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates every club on one scale from 408,274 league, cup and continental matches in 638 leagues up to 13 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Al Seeb play in the Professional League, Al Hussein in the League.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Al Seeb are at home.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two in this competition, so this step adds nothing.

What the model expects

1.12 goals for Al Seeb, 1.39 for Al Hussein. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in AFC Champions League Two since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in AFC Champions League Two

AL SEEB

WDWWLL4–0 · 0–0 · 4–0 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 0–1

AL HUSSEIN

LWWWLD0–2 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 3–2 · 1–3 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Arkadag	2	+4	6
2	Persib Bandung	2	+2	6
3	Adelaide United	1	+3	3
4	Machida Zelvia	1	+2	3
5	Al-Rayyan SC	1	+1	3
6	Al Wahda FC	1	+1	3
7	Phnom Penh Crown	1	+1	3
8	Shanghai Shenhua	1	+1	3
9	Al Shorta	1	+1	3
10	East Bengal II	2	0	2
11	Al Hussein	1	0	1
12	Al Arabi	1	0	1
13	Al Taawon	1	0	1
14	Al-Nahda	1	0	1
15	BG Pathum United	1	0	1
16	Home United	1	0	1
17	Melbourne Victory	1	0	1
18	Viettel	1	0	1
19	Al-Jazira	1	0	1
20	Gangwon FC	1	0	1
21	Gol Gohar	1	0	1
22	Khalidiya	1	0	1
23	Kitchee	1	0	1
24	Nasaf	1	0	1
25	Al Faisaly	1	−1	0
26	Al Kuwait	1	−1	0
27	Kuching FA	1	−1	0
28	Tampines Rovers	1	−1	0
29	Al Seeb	1	−1	0
30	FC Seoul	1	−1	0
31	Manila Digger	1	−1	0
32	Muharraq	1	−1	0
33	Svay Rieng	1	−2	0
34	Goa	1	−3	0
35	Wofoo Tai Po	1	−3	0