Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › AFC Champions League Two › Al-Nahda v Al-Rayyan SC

Back

Al-Nahda v Al-Rayyan SC

Al-Nahda
16:00Upcoming
Al-Rayyan SC

AFC Champions League Two · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al-NahdaDrawAl-Rayyan SC
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Al-Rayyan SC 80%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al-Rayyan SC are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al-Nahda 7%, draw 14%, Al-Rayyan SC 80%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Al-Nahda v Al-Rayyan SCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Al-Nahda win7%
Draw14%
Al-Rayyan SC win80%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup stage · matchday 3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al-Nahda

Al-Rayyan SC

5Days since last match5

Last match: 23 Oct · Professional League

Last match: 23 Oct · Stars League

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Group C

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Al-Rayyan SC203
4Al-Nahda2−21

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al-rayyan sc winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
80% The market–
Us80%

We make Al-Rayyan SC an 80% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–2.7, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Al-Nahda v Al-Rayyan SC0.69 – 2.70
Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 16 SeptW0 D1 L1 · W1 D0 L1
Table places · points 1 v 34 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
75%80%85% 22 OCT 00:0124 OCT 22:53
Our probability · Al-Rayyan SC win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al-Nahda win7%––
Draw14%––
Al-Rayyan SC win80%––
Over 2.5 goals66%––
Both teams to score47%––
Over 1.5 goals85%––
Over 3.5 goals44%––
Al-Nahda or draw20%––
Al-Nahda clean sheet7%––
Al-Rayyan SC clean sheet50%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 12.3%
0123450 3.6 8.9 12.3 11.1 7.5 4.01 2.1 6.5 8.5 7.6 5.2 2.82 2.2 2.9 2.6 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Al-Nahda down, Al-Rayyan SC across0–5 goals a side shown (94.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsALR 3–1 ALN · ALN 1–1 ALR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 16 Sept

AL-NAHDA

DL1–1 · 0–2

AL-RAYYAN SC

WL4–3 · 1–2

The table

2026/27 · Group C
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Taawon2+14
2Al-Rayyan SC203
3Al Faisaly2+13
4Al-Nahda2−21

The competition's standings before kick-off.