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Model 1.2

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Al-Jazira v Muharraq

Al-Jazira
16:00Upcoming
Muharraq

AFC Champions League Two · WED 28 OCT · Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al-JaziraDrawMuharraq
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Al-Jazira 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al-Jazira are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al-Jazira 50%, draw 26%, Muharraq 23%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Al-Jazira v MuharraqBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Al-Jazira win50%
Draw26%
Muharraq win23%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup stage · matchday 3

VenueMohammed Bin Zayed Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al-Jazira

Muharraq

6Days since last match5

Last match: 22 Oct · Presidents Cup

Last match: 23 Oct · Premier League (Bahrain)

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Group B

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al-Jazira2+14
3Muharraq2+13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al-jazira winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
50% The market–
Us50%

We make Al-Jazira a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Al-Jazira v Muharraq1.54 – 0.97
Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 15 SeptW1 D1 L0 · W1 D0 L1
Table places · points 4 v 31 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 01:06
Our probability · Al-Jazira win

Published at 51%, 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al-Jazira win50%––
Draw26%––
Muharraq win23%––
Over 2.5 goals46%––
Both teams to score49%––
Over 1.5 goals72%––
Over 3.5 goals24%––
Al-Jazira or draw77%––
Al-Jazira clean sheet38%––
Muharraq clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%
0123450 8.5 7.5 3.8 1 12.1 12.5 5.9 2 9.6 9.3 4.5 3 4.9 4.8 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Al-Jazira down, Muharraq across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 15 Sept

AL-JAZIRA

DW0–0 · 2–1

MUHARRAQ

LW0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27 · Group B
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al-Jazira2+14
2Arkadag203
3Muharraq2+13
4Gol Gohar2−21

The competition's standings before kick-off.