Al-Jazira v Arkadag

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Jazira win at 48%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Al-Jazira v Arkadag
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Al-Jazira was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–25–26
4. 21′SUBSTITUTION · 21' Al-Jazira · On: Ruben Amaral · Off: Ravil Tagir
5. 23′SUBSTITUTION · 20' Al-Jazira · On: Ruben Amaral · Off: Ravil Tagir
6. 28′Al-Jazira have had 8.0 attempts to 1.0 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 43–31–25
7. 38′Al-Jazira have had 12.0 attempts to 5.0 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 41–35–24
8. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Al-Jazira win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
9. 46′SECOND HALF Al-Jazira 0–0 Arkadag
10. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Al-Jazira · On: Vinicius Mello · Off: Ali Al-Memari
11. 50′We said Al-Jazira at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 36–41–23
12. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Al-Jazira win 36%)
13. 55′We said Al-Jazira at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–44–21
14. 56′We published Al-Jazira at 48%. Our model now makes it 79%. 1–0 · 79–17–4
15. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Al-Jazira 1–0 Arkadag
16. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Al-Jazira win: 48% at kick-off, 79% now
17. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Al-Jazira win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 17%)
18. 57′Malcom scores for Al-Jazira on 55′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 79–17–4
19. 59′We published Al-Jazira at 48%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
20. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Arkadag · On: Dayanch Meredov · Off: Altymurad Annadurdyev
21. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Arkadag · On: Sanazar Tirkishov · Off: Ýazgylyç Gurbanov
22. 66′66′ and it is 1–0: Abdy Byashimov on the scoresheet for Arkadag. 1–0 · 82–15–3
23. 67′We said Al-Jazira at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–56–18
24. 67′⚽ GOAL · 66' Al-Jazira 1–1 Arkadag · Abdy Byashimov (assist Arzuvguly Sapargulyev)
25. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Al-Jazira · On: Abdallah Ramadan · Off: Anthony Dennis
26. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Al-Jazira win: 48% at kick-off, 27% now
27. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Al-Jazira win 27%)
28. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Al-Jazira · On: Mamadou Coulibaly · Off: Kristjan Asllani
29. 69′17.0 shots for Al-Jazira, 12.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 25–58–17
30. 70′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 25–59–16
31. 71′We said Al-Jazira at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–61–16
32. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Arkadag · On: Didar durdyyev · Off: Rahman Orazmyrat ogly Myratberdiýew
33. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Al-Jazira · On: Marcus Vinicius Barbosa Meloni · Off: Mohammed Rabii
34. 76′We said Al-Jazira at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–68–13
35. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Al-Jazira win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
36. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Arkadag · On: Berdimurad Rezhebov · Off: Ybraýym Mämmedow
37. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Arkadag · On: Yhlas Saparmammedov · Off: Guychmyrat Annagulyyev Corrected
38. 81′We said Al-Jazira at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–77–9
39. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Arkadag · On: Yhlas Saparmammedov · Off: Arzuvguly Sapargulyev
40. 86′We said Al-Jazira at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 8–86–6
41. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Al-Jazira win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
42. 87′Al-Jazira have had 20.0 attempts to 12.0 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 7–88–5
43. 91′We said Al-Jazira at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
44. FTFULL TIME Al-Jazira 2–1 Arkadag
45. FTAl-Jazira 2–1 Arkadag · Al-Jazira win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.