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Model 1.2

Home › Football › AFC Champions League Two › Al Faisaly v Al Taawon

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Al Faisaly v Al Taawon

Al Faisaly
18:15Upcoming
Al Taawon

AFC Champions League Two · WED 28 OCT · Amman International Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al FaisalyDrawAl Taawon
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:15
Before kick-off · Match result · Al Taawon 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Taawon are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Faisaly 31%, draw 29%, Al Taawon 40%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Al Faisaly v Al TaawonBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Al Faisaly win31%
Draw29%
Al Taawon win40%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 18:15

RoundGroup stage · matchday 3

VenueAmman International Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Faisaly

Al Taawon

5Days since last match4

Last match: 23 Oct · League

Last match: 24 Oct · the Saudi Pro League

3Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Group C

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Taawon2+14
3Al Faisaly2+13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al taawon winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
40% The market–
Us40%

We make Al Taawon a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Al Faisaly v Al Taawon1.05 – 1.22
Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 16 SeptW1 D0 L1 · W1 D1 L0
Table places · points 3 v 43 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 00:56
Our probability · Al Taawon win

Published at 41%, 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Faisaly win31%––
Draw29%––
Al Taawon win40%––
Over 2.5 goals40%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals67%––
Over 3.5 goals20%––
Al Faisaly or draw60%––
Al Faisaly clean sheet29%––
Al Taawon clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.7%
0123450 10.7 12.2 7.7 3.1 1 10.4 13.7 8.1 3.3 2 5.7 6.9 4.2 3 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Faisaly down, Al Taawon across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 16 Sept

AL FAISALY

LW3–4 · 2–0

AL TAAWON

DW1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27 · Group C
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Taawon2+14
2Al-Rayyan SC203
3Al Faisaly2+13
4Al-Nahda2−21

The competition's standings before kick-off.