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Al Faisaly v Al-Nahda
Al FaisalyAl-NahdaAFC Champions League Two · WED 14 OCT · Amman International Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Faisaly win at 67%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Faisaly 67% before kick-off, 68% now. 0–0 · 68–21–11
- 1′KICK-OFF Al Faisaly v Al-Nahda
- 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Al Faisaly 1–0 Al-Nahda
- 31′Jean Charles Ahoua scores for Al Faisaly on 30′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 88–10–2
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Al Faisaly win: 67% at kick-off, 88% now
- 32′We said Al Faisaly at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 1–0 · 88–10–2
- 33′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 88–10–2
- 45′HALF-TIME Al Faisaly 1–0 Al-Nahda
- 46′SECOND HALF Al Faisaly 1–0 Al-Nahda
- 59′We said Al Faisaly at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Al Faisaly · On: Anas Badawi · Off: Ahmad Abd Rabbo
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Al-Nahda · On: Karim Darwich · Off: Yusaif Nasser Sulaiman Nasser Al Mukhaini
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Al Faisaly · On: Anas Ahmad Mahmoud Hammad Al Awadat · Off: Majdi Ahmad Mohammad Attar
- 77′We said Al Faisaly at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Al Faisaly 2–0 Al-Nahda · Jean Charles Ahoua
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Al Faisaly win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
- 78′76′ and it is 2–0: Ahmed Al-Ersan on the scoresheet for Al Faisaly. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 78′GOAL DISALLOWED · 78' Al Faisaly
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Al Faisaly win: 67% at kick-off, 94% now
- 80′We said Al Faisaly at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Al Faisaly 2–0 Al-Nahda · Ahmed Al-Ersan
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Al Faisaly win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Al Faisaly · On: Nour Bani Ateyah · Off: Abdallah Al-Fakhouri
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Al Faisaly · On: Salaah Al Yahyaei · Off: Cláudio Oliveira de Souza
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Al Faisaly · On: Aon Al-Maharmeh · Off: Ahmed Al-Ersan
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Al-Nahda · On: Ahed Al-Mashaiki · Off: Djavan Anderson
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 93' Al-Nahda · On: Marwan Taaib Marhoon Mubarak Awlad Wadi · Off: Ahmed Khalifa Said Al Kaabi
- FTFULL TIME Al Faisaly 2–0 Al-Nahda
- FTAl Faisaly 2–0 Al-Nahda · Al Faisaly win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 18:47 · locked at kick-off
Al Faisaly win67%Al-Nahda win11%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 19:15
VenueAmman International Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Al FaisalyMINAl-NahdaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Al Faisaly
4-2-3-1
Al-Nahda
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Al Faisaly
Al-Nahda
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Nahda | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Al Faisaly | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Al Faisaly
4-2-3-1
99 Abdallah Al Fakhouri
23 Ehsan Haddad
4 Ahmad Abd Rabbo
6 S. Simporé
12 Mohamad Haddad
10 Majdi Ahmad Mohammad Attar
8 Noor Al Rawabdeh
17 Ghaith Al Madadha
18 Jean Charles Ahoua
7 Ahmed Al-Ersan
9 Cláudio Oliveira de Souza
Coach · Jamal Abu Abed
Substitutes
27 · Salaah Al Yahyaei
77 · Qutaiba Ali Qublan Al Ajalin
94 · Ahmad Mustafa Ahmed Abu Koush
57 · Malek Mohammad Hassan Allan
14 · Aon Al-Maharmeh
30 · Waseem Wasef Alriyalat
15 · Anas Al Awadat
21 · A. Badawi
20 · Reziq Bani Hani
1 · Noureddin Bani Attiah
Al-Nahda
4-2-3-1
88 Faiyz Al Rashidi
11 Amjad Al Harthi
25 Ghanim Al Habashi
3 Ahmed Al Rawahi
47 Ahmed Al Kaabi
23 Harib Al Saadi
24 Petrus Boumal Mayega
10 Jameel Al-Yahmadi
22 Djavan Anderson
27 Yusaif Nasser Sulaiman Nasser Al Mukhaini
9 Mohammed Al Ghafri
Coach · Hamad Al Azani
Substitutes
33 · Saad Sulaiman Al Alawi
6 · Al Faraj Al Kiyumi
4 · Thani Gharib Thani Khamis Al Rushaidi
13 · Abdul Aziz Al Shamousi
19 · Al Qasim Saeed Al Sulimi
53 · Jamal Al Wahshi
44 · Matar Khalfan Al Washahi
18 · Marwan Taaib Marhoon Mubarak Awlad Wadi
28 · Karim Darwich
70 · Ahed Al-Mashaiki
17 · Abdullah Al Mamari
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Al Faisaly
4-2-3-1
99 Abdallah Al Fakhouri
23 Ehsan Haddad
4 Ahmad Abd Rabbo
6 S. Simporé
12 Mohamad Haddad
10 Majdi Ahmad Mohammad Attar
8 Noor Al Rawabdeh
17 Ghaith Al Madadha
18 Jean Charles Ahoua
7 Ahmed Al-Ersan
9 Cláudio Oliveira de Souza
Coach · Jamal Abu Abed
Substitutes
27 · Salaah Al Yahyaei
77 · Qutaiba Ali Qublan Al Ajalin
94 · Ahmad Mustafa Ahmed Abu Koush
57 · Malek Mohammad Hassan Allan
14 · Aon Al-Maharmeh
30 · Waseem Wasef Alriyalat
15 · Anas Al Awadat
21 · A. Badawi
20 · Reziq Bani Hani
1 · Noureddin Bani Attiah
Al-Nahda
4-2-3-1
88 Faiyz Al Rashidi
11 Amjad Al Harthi
25 Ghanim Al Habashi
3 Ahmed Al Rawahi
47 Ahmed Al Kaabi
23 Harib Al Saadi
24 Petrus Boumal Mayega
10 Jameel Al-Yahmadi
22 Djavan Anderson
27 Yusaif Nasser Sulaiman Nasser Al Mukhaini
9 Mohammed Al Ghafri
Coach · Hamad Al Azani
Substitutes
33 · Saad Sulaiman Al Alawi
6 · Al Faraj Al Kiyumi
4 · Thani Gharib Thani Khamis Al Rushaidi
13 · Abdul Aziz Al Shamousi
19 · Al Qasim Saeed Al Sulimi
53 · Jamal Al Wahshi
44 · Matar Khalfan Al Washahi
18 · Marwan Taaib Marhoon Mubarak Awlad Wadi
28 · Karim Darwich
70 · Ahed Al-Mashaiki
17 · Abdullah Al Mamari
We make Al Faisaly a 67% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 20 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–0.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Faisaly win | 67% | 48% | +20 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | −1 |
| Al-Nahda win | 11% | 29% | −19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 56% | −12 |
| Both teams to score | 38% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | – | – |
| Al Faisaly or draw | 89% | 71% | +19 |
| Al Faisaly clean sheet | 55% | – | – |
| Al-Nahda clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in AFC Champions League Two since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.
Form · last six in AFC Champions League Two
AL FAISALY
AL-NAHDA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Rayyan SC | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Al-Nahda | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Al Taawon | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Al Faisaly | 1 | -1 | 0 |
The competition's standings.