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Vissel Kobe v Jeonbuk Motors

Vissel Kobe
2–0Full time
Jeonbuk Motors

AFC Champions League Elite · WED 14 OCT · Noevir Stadium Kobe

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 13:53
Vissel Kobe 2–0 Jeonbuk Motors VISSEL KOBE WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Vissel Kobe win55%
The market said59%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.309
The market’s Brier score0.254

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Vissel Kobe win at 55%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Vissel Kobe was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 55–25–20
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Vissel Kobe v Jeonbuk Motors
  4. 12′12′ and it is 1–0: Vissel Kobe have scored. 1–0 · 80–14–6
  5. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Vissel Kobe 1–0 Jeonbuk Motors
  6. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Vissel Kobe win: 55% at kick-off, 80% now
  7. 13′11′ and it is 1–0: Yuya Osako on the scoresheet for Vissel Kobe. 1–0 · 80–14–5
  8. 14′We published Vissel Kobe at 55%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–14–5
  9. 31′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 81–15–4
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Vissel Kobe 1–0 Jeonbuk Motors
  11. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Jeonbuk Motors · On: Seung-Woo Lee · Off: Kim Seung-sub
  12. 46′SECOND HALF Vissel Kobe 1–0 Jeonbuk Motors
  13. 58′We said Vissel Kobe at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–50–16
  14. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Vissel Kobe 1–1 Jeonbuk Motors
  15. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Vissel Kobe win: 55% at kick-off, 35% now
  16. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Vissel Kobe win 35%)
  17. 59′We published Vissel Kobe at 55%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
  18. 59′GOAL DISALLOWED · 59' Jeonbuk Motors
  19. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Vissel Kobe win: 55% at kick-off, 85% now
  20. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Vissel Kobe win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 13%)
  21. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Vissel Kobe 2–0 Jeonbuk Motors · Yuya Osako
  22. 69′We published Vissel Kobe at 55%. Our model now makes it 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
  23. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Vissel Kobe win: 55% at kick-off, 99% now
  24. 70′Vissel Kobe ahead on 68′ through Yuya Kuwasaki. 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
  25. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Vissel Kobe · On: Jean Patric Lima dos Reis · Off: Katsuya Nagato
  26. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Vissel Kobe · On: Mitsuki Hidaka · Off: Yuya Kuwasaki
  27. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Jeonbuk Motors · On: Lee Yeong-jae · Off: Kim Jin-Gyu
  28. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Jeonbuk Motors · On: João Gamboa · Off: Maeng Seong-ung
  29. 78′We published Vissel Kobe at 55%. Our model now makes it 100%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  30. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Jeonbuk Motors · On: Tiago Orobó · Off: Italo Vargas
  31. FTFULL TIME Vissel Kobe 2–0 Jeonbuk Motors
  32. FTVissel Kobe 2–0 Jeonbuk Motors · Vissel Kobe win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Vissel Kobe v Jeonbuk MotorsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 10:14 · locked at kick-off

Vissel Kobe win55%
Draw26%
Jeonbuk Motors win19%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 11:00

VenueNoevir Stadium Kobe

Line-ups

Vissel Kobe

4-4-2

Jeonbuk Motors

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Vissel Kobe

Jeonbuk Motors

28Days since last match28
0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Vissel Kobe113
8Jeonbuk Motors113

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Vissel Kobe

4-4-2

71 S. Gonda

24 G. Sakai

4 T. Yamakawa

16 Caetano

15 Diego

11 Y. Muto

7 Y. Ideguchi

25 Y. Kuwasaki

41 K. Nagato

10 Y. Osako

94 Erik

Coach · Michael Skibbe

Substitutes

21 · S. Arai

1 · D. Maekawa

3 · M. Thuler

2 · N. Iino

31 · T. Iwanami

43 · K. Yamada

5 · Y. Goke

20 · K. Watanabe

44 · M. Hidaka

29 · R. Komatsu

26 · Jean Patric

62 · H. Kawabata

Jeonbuk Motors

4-2-3-1

31 Song Bum-Keun

77 Kim Tae-Hyeon

5 Park Ji-Su

2 Kim Young-Bin

66 Choi Woo-Jin

97 Kim Jin-Gyu

6 Maeng Seong-Ung

11 Kim Seung-Sub

13 Kang Sang-Yoon

95 Italo

99 Bruno Mota

Coach · Jung-Yong Chung

Substitutes

1 · Lee Ju-hyeon

3 · Yeon Je-Woon

4 · Cho Wi-Je

39 · Seo Jeong-Hyeok

27 · Hwang Seung-jun

28 · Lee Yeong-Jae

16 · J. Gamboa

30 · Dodo

9 · Tiago Orobo

7 · Lee Dong-Jun

10 · Lee Seung-Woo

96 · A. Compagno

Our number · vissel kobe winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 10:14 · locked at kick-off
55% The market59%
Us55%
Market59%

We make Vissel Kobe a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 59%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Vissel Kobe v Jeonbuk Motors1.58 – 0.83
Last six in AFC Champions League EliteW3 D1 L2 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 3 v 37 v 8
The market · Vissel Kobe win59% · ours 55%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:2114 OCT 10:09
Our probability · vissel kobe win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 59% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Vissel Kobe win55%59%−4
Draw26%23%+3
Jeonbuk Motors win19%18%+1
Over 2.5 goals43%51%−8
Both teams to score45%50%−5
Over 1.5 goals70%74%−5
Over 3.5 goals22%30%−8
Vissel Kobe or draw81%82%−1
Vissel Kobe clean sheet44%––
Jeonbuk Motors clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.9%
0123450 9.4 7.1 3.1 1 13.9 12.2 4.9 2 11.3 9.3 3.8 3 5.9 4.9 2.0 4 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Vissel Kobe down, Jeonbuk Motors across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2022
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsVIS 1–1 JEO

Form · last six in AFC Champions League Elite

VISSEL KOBE

LWWDLW0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 3–3 · 1–2 · 2–1

JEONBUK MOTORS

WWDDLW3–2 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kashima276
2Gamba Osaka256
3Beijing Guoan236
4SHANGHAI SIPG224
5Johor Darul Takzim FC224
6Daejeon Citizen214
7Vissel Kobe113
8Jeonbuk Motors113
9Kyoto Sanga203
10Buriram United2-11
11Kashiwa Reysol1-10
12Port FC1-10
13Ratchaburi2-30
14Công An Nhân Dân2-40
15Pohang Steelers2-40
16Newcastle Jets2-80

The competition's standings.