Johor Darul Takzim FC v Port FC prediction · AFC Champions League Elite

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Johor Darul Takzim FCDrawPort FC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Johor Darul Takzim FC 77%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Johor Darul Takzim FC are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Johor Darul Takzim FC 77%, draw 15%, Port FC 8%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Johor Darul Takzim FC v Port FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Johor Darul Takzim FC win77%

Draw15%

Port FC win8%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 10:00

RoundLeague phase · matchday 3

VenueSultan Ibrahim Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Johor Darul Takzim FC

Port FC

4Days since last match3

Last match: 23 Oct · FA Cup (Malaysia)

Last match: 24 Oct · Thai League 1

3Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Johor Darul Takzim FC	2	+2	4
15	Port FC	2	−5	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · johor darul takzim fc winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off

77% The market–

Us77%

We make Johor Darul Takzim FC a 77% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Johor Darul Takzim FC v Port FC~~2.65 – 0.79

~~Form · AFC Champions League Elite this season · since 15 Sept~~W1 D1 L0 · W0 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 4 v 0~~6 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Johor Darul Takzim FC win

Published at 78%, 77% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Johor Darul Takzim FC win	77%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Port FC win	8%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Johor Darul Takzim FC or draw	92%	–	–
Johor Darul Takzim FC clean sheet	45%	–	–
Port FC clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.3%

0123450 3.4 2.3 1 8.3 6.9 2.7 2 11.3 8.9 3.5 3 10.0 7.9 3.1 4 6.6 5.2 2.0 5 3.5 2.8

under 2% 5% 12%+Johor Darul Takzim FC down, Port FC across0–5 goals a side shown (94.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates the clubs of 638 leagues on one scale, from the 409,758 league, cup and continental matches of the last three years up to 24 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Johor Darul Takzim FC play in Super League (Malaysia), Port FC in Thai League 1.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Johor Darul Takzim FC are at home.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

What the model expects

2.65 goals for Johor Darul Takzim FC, 0.79 for Port FC. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · AFC Champions League Elite this season · since 15 Sept

JOHOR DARUL TAKZIM FC

DW1–1 · 2–0

PORT FC

LL1–2 · 1–5

The table

2026/27 · East Region

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kashima	2	+7	6
2	Gamba Osaka	2	+5	6
3	Vissel Kobe	2	+3	6
4	Beijing Guoan	2	+3	6
5	SHANGHAI SIPG	2	+2	4
6	Johor Darul Takzim FC	2	+2	4
7	Daejeon Citizen	2	+1	4
8	Kashiwa Reysol	2	+3	3
9	Kyoto Sanga	2	0	3
10	Jeonbuk Motors	2	−1	3
11	Buriram United	2	−1	1
12	Ratchaburi	2	−3	0
13	Công An Nhân Dân	2	−4	0
14	Pohang Steelers	2	−4	0
15	Port FC	2	−5	0
16	Newcastle Jets	2	−8	0