Daejeon Citizen v Vissel Kobe prediction · AFC Champions League Elite

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Daejeon CitizenDrawVissel Kobe

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Vissel Kobe 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vissel Kobe are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Daejeon Citizen 24%, draw 26%, Vissel Kobe 50%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Daejeon Citizen v Vissel KobeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Daejeon Citizen win24%

Draw26%

Vissel Kobe win50%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 10:00

RoundLeague phase · matchday 3

VenueDaejeon World Cup Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Daejeon Citizen

Vissel Kobe

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · K League 1

Last match: 24 Oct · J1 League

3Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Vissel Kobe	2	+3	6
7	Daejeon Citizen	2	+1	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vissel kobe winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Vissel Kobe a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Daejeon Citizen v Vissel Kobe~~1.02 – 1.57

~~Form · AFC Champions League Elite this season · since 15 Sept~~W1 D1 L0 · W2 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 4 v 6~~7 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Daejeon Citizen win	24%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Vissel Kobe win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Daejeon Citizen or draw	50%	–	–
Daejeon Citizen clean sheet	21%	–	–
Vissel Kobe clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%

0123450 7.9 11.4 9.2 4.8 1 7.3 12.4 9.4 4.9 2 3.9 6.1 4.8 2.5 3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Daejeon Citizen down, Vissel Kobe across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates the clubs of 638 leagues on one scale, from the 409,754 league, cup and continental matches of the last three years up to 24 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Daejeon Citizen play in K League 1, Vissel Kobe in J1 League.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Daejeon Citizen are at home.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2022.

What the model expects

1.02 goals for Daejeon Citizen, 1.57 for Vissel Kobe. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · AFC Champions League Elite this season · since 15 Sept

DAEJEON CITIZEN

WD1–0 · 1–1

VISSEL KOBE

WW2–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27 · East Region

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kashima	2	+7	6
2	Gamba Osaka	2	+5	6
3	Vissel Kobe	2	+3	6
4	Beijing Guoan	2	+3	6
5	SHANGHAI SIPG	2	+2	4
6	Johor Darul Takzim FC	2	+2	4
7	Daejeon Citizen	2	+1	4
8	Kashiwa Reysol	2	+3	3
9	Kyoto Sanga	2	0	3
10	Jeonbuk Motors	2	−1	3
11	Buriram United	2	−1	1
12	Ratchaburi	2	−3	0
13	Công An Nhân Dân	2	−4	0
14	Pohang Steelers	2	−4	0
15	Port FC	2	−5	0
16	Newcastle Jets	2	−8	0