Al Ain v Tractor Sazi prediction · AFC Champions League Elite

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al AinDrawTractor Sazi

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Al Ain 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Ain are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Ain 43%, draw 28%, Tractor Sazi 29%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Al Ain v Tractor SaziBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Al Ain win43%

Draw28%

Tractor Sazi win29%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 16:00

RoundLeague phase · matchday 3

VenueHazza Bin Zayed Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Ain

Tractor Sazi

4Days since last match4

Last match: 22 Oct · Presidents Cup

Last match: 22 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro League

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al ain winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Al Ain a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al Ain v Tractor Sazi~~1.34 – 1.06

~~Form · AFC Champions League Elite this season · since 14 Sept~~W2 D0 L0 · W0 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 6 v 1~~1 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Ain win	43%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Tractor Sazi win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Al Ain or draw	71%	–	–
Al Ain clean sheet	35%	–	–
Tractor Sazi clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%

0123450 9.5 9.1 5.1 1 11.8 13.3 6.8 2.4 2 8.2 8.7 4.6 3 3.7 3.9 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Ain down, Tractor Sazi across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates the clubs of 637 leagues on one scale, from the 408,565 league, cup and continental matches of the last three years up to 23 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Al Ain play in Pro League (United Arab Emirates), Tractor Sazi in Persian Gulf Pro League.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Al Ain are at home.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

What the model expects

1.34 goals for Al Ain, 1.06 for Tractor Sazi. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · AFC Champions League Elite this season · since 14 Sept

AL AIN

WW4–0 · 4–1

TRACTOR SAZI

LD0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27 · West Region

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Ain	2	+7	6
2	Esteghlal FC	2	+4	6
3	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	2	+3	6
4	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	2	+2	6
5	Al-Ahli Jeddah	2	+2	4
6	Al-Qadisiyah FC	2	+1	4
7	Neftchi	2	−1	3
8	Al-Nassr	2	−2	3
9	Pakhtakor	2	0	2
10	Al Shamal	2	0	2
11	Al-Ittihad FC	2	−1	1
12	Tractor Sazi	2	−1	1
13	Al-Gharafa	2	−2	0
14	Al-Wasl FC	2	−3	0
15	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	2	−4	0
16	Al Sadd	2	−5	0