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Hang Yuen v Manila Digger
Hang Yuen
Manila DiggerAFC Challenge League · WED 21 OCT · Thuwunna Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Manila Digger win at 55%.
- 0′KICK-OFF Hang Yuen v Manila Digger
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Manila Digger 55% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 17–28–55
- 20′We said Manila Digger at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 0–1 · 4–13–83
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Hang Yuen 0–1 Manila Digger
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Manila Digger win: 55% at kick-off, 83% now
- 21′21′: B. Touray on the scoresheet for Manila Digger, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 4–13–83
- 24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' B. Touray · Manila Digger
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 0–1 · 3–14–83
- 39′We said Manila Digger at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 16–41–43
- 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Hang Yuen 1–1 Manila Digger
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Manila Digger win: 55% at kick-off, 43% now
- 40′Hang Yuen level it on 40′ through L. Hai-cheng. 1–1. 1–1 · 16–41–43
- 45′HALF-TIME Hang Yuen 1–1 Manila Digger
- 45′SECOND HALF Hang Yuen 1–1 Manila Digger
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hang Yuen · On: Wang Po-Ying · Off: L. Hai-cheng
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Manila Digger · On: A. Gomez · Off: Z. Taningco
- 47′We said Manila Digger at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 16–45–39
- 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Manila Digger win 43%)
- 55′Hang Yuen level it on 39′ through Hai-Cheng Lin. 1–1. 1–1 · 14–51–35
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Manila Digger win: 55% at kick-off, 35% now
- 56′We said Manila Digger at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 14–51–34
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Manila Digger · On: E. Ndecky · Off: D. Vasquez
- 64′We said Manila Digger at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 12–59–29
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Manila Digger win: 55% at kick-off, 25% now
- 70′We said Manila Digger at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 11–65–24
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Manila Digger · On: M. L. Bojang · Off: D. De Bruycker
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Manila Digger · On: T. Limbo · Off: D. Tafem
- 75′We said Manila Digger at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 9–72–19
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Hang Yuen · On: Y. Lu · Off: P. Ng
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Hang Yuen · On: Y. T. Lu · Off: P. S. Wu
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Manila Digger win: 55% at kick-off, 15% now
- 80′We said Manila Digger at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 6–80–14
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Manila Digger · On: P. Godwin · Off: S. Ceesay
- 84′We said Manila Digger at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 4–87–9
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Hang Yuen · On: E. Argueta · Off: S. Koreeda
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Manila Digger win: 55% at kick-off, 5% now
- 91′We said Manila Digger at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 2–94–4
- FTFULL TIME Hang Yuen 1–1 Manila Digger
- FTHang Yuen 1–1 Manila Digger · Manila Digger win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Manila Digger are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Hang Yuen 17%, draw 28%, Manila Digger 55%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 38%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
Hang Yuen win17%
Manila Digger win55%Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 13:30
RoundGroup stage
VenueThuwunna Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Hang YuenMIN
Manila DiggerEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Hang Yuen
Manila Digger
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Hang Yuen
Manila Digger
Last match: 18 Oct · AFC Challenge League
Last match: 18 Oct · AFC Challenge League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Hang Yuen
Formation not confirmed
1 O. Jacobs
6 C. Huang
5 N. Sakurauchi
2 Y. C. Huang
15 P. S. Wu
7 S. Chang
3 W. Lopez
8 K. Sato
9 P. Ng
10 S. Koreeda
25 L. Hai-cheng
Coach · Chin-Hwai Hung
Substitutes
18 · P. Chang
11 · N. Kaneko
26 · E. Argueta
24 · Y. T. Lu
17 · Wang Po-Ying
14 · E. Tsai
20 · T. Lee
23 · C. Jhou
19 · K. Chen
13 · Chen Pao-Chun
16 · Y. Lu
21 · T. Lin
Manila Digger
Formation not confirmed
16 O. Njie
26 K. Pryde
23 D. Sambou
20 M. Joof
22 Z. Taningco
24 D. Vasquez
4 A. Badjie
17 D. De Bruycker
5 D. Tafem
10 S. Ceesay
11 B. Touray
Coach · –
Substitutes
21 · D. Ouattara
1 · M. Asong
6 · D. Ashley
14 · R. Andes
98 · T. Limbo
15 · M. L. Bojang
27 · J. Kihm
2 · A. Gomez
77 · S. Diao
7 · P. Godwin
18 · E. Ndecky
19 · J. Barsanilla
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Hang Yuen
Formation not confirmed
1 O. Jacobs
6 C. Huang
5 N. Sakurauchi
2 Y. C. Huang
15 P. S. Wu
7 S. Chang
3 W. Lopez
8 K. Sato
9 P. Ng
10 S. Koreeda
25 L. Hai-cheng
Coach · Chin-Hwai Hung
Substitutes
18 · P. Chang
11 · N. Kaneko
26 · E. Argueta
24 · Y. T. Lu
17 · Wang Po-Ying
14 · E. Tsai
20 · T. Lee
23 · C. Jhou
19 · K. Chen
13 · Chen Pao-Chun
16 · Y. Lu
21 · T. Lin
Manila Digger
Formation not confirmed
16 O. Njie
26 K. Pryde
23 D. Sambou
20 M. Joof
22 Z. Taningco
24 D. Vasquez
4 A. Badjie
17 D. De Bruycker
5 D. Tafem
10 S. Ceesay
11 B. Touray
Coach · –
Substitutes
21 · D. Ouattara
1 · M. Asong
6 · D. Ashley
14 · R. Andes
98 · T. Limbo
15 · M. L. Bojang
27 · J. Kihm
2 · A. Gomez
77 · S. Diao
7 · P. Godwin
18 · E. Ndecky
19 · J. Barsanilla
We make Manila Digger a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 71%. We are 16 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.7–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 58%, 55% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 71% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Yuen win | 17% | 11% | +6 |
| Draw | 28% | 18% | +10 |
| Manila Digger win | 55% | 71% | −16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 62% | −26 |
| Both teams to score | 38% | 50% | −12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 82% | −19 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 41% | −24 |
| Hang Yuen or draw | 45% | 29% | +16 |
| Hang Yuen clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
| Manila Digger clean sheet | 50% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2023No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · AFC Challenge League this season · since 11 Aug
HANG YUEN
MANILA DIGGER