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Al Arabi v Wathba
Al Arabi
WathbaAFC Challenge League · SAT 17 OCT · Hisor Central Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Arabi win at 64%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Arabi 64% before kick-off, 63% now. 0–0 · 63–25–11
- 1′KICK-OFF Al Arabi v Wathba
- 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Al Arabi win: 64% at kick-off, 54% now
- 33′A goal for Wathba on 32′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 21–31–48
- 33′We said Al Arabi at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–31–48
- 33′⚽ GOAL · 32' Al Arabi 0–1 Wathba
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Al Arabi win: 64% at kick-off, 21% now
- 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Wathba win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Al Arabi win 21%)
- 34′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 0–1 · 21–31–48
- 36′SUBSTITUTION · 20' Al Arabi · On: H. Al Harbi · Off: K. Al Mershed
- 36′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Wathba
- 36′🟨 YELLOW · 7' S. Shoufan · Wathba
- 38′We said Al Arabi at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–31–50
- 45′HALF-TIME Al Arabi 0–1 Wathba
- 46′SECOND HALF Al Arabi 0–1 Wathba
- 48′We said Al Arabi at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–30–55
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+3' Al Arabi win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
- 54′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Al Arabi · On: T. Al-Matroud · Off: A. Nasari
- 59′We said Al Arabi at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–28–63
- 60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Wathba
- 71′We said Al Arabi at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–22–74
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Al Arabi win: 64% at kick-off, 4% now
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Al Arabi · On: F. Al Dawood · Off: A. Khalaf
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Wathba · On: M. Farawi · Off: I. Al Khalil
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Wathba · On: E. Laszo · Off: S. Shoufan
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Wathba · On: A. Kullab · Off: M. Al Ghoul
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Al Arabi · On: B. Al Salama · Off: B. Al Mutairi
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Al Arabi · On: A. Al Doukhi · Off: Z. Qunbar
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Wathba · On: M. Horso Mwaku · Off: A. Barakat
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Wathba · On: M. Shofan · Off: K. Meshleb
- 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Wathba
- FTFULL TIME Al Arabi 0–1 Wathba
- FTAl Arabi 0–1 Wathba · Al Arabi win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassAl Arabi are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Al Arabi 64%, draw 25%, Wathba 11%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 33%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Al Arabi win64%
Wathba win11%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00
RoundGroup stage
VenueHisor Central Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Al ArabiMIN
WathbaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Al Arabi
Wathba
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Al Arabi
Wathba
Last match: 9 Oct · Premier League (Kuwait)
Last match: 9 Oct · Premier League (Syria)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Al Arabi
Formation not confirmed
22 S. Abdulghafoor
2 A. Al Awadi
5 J. Aboud
27 B. Souyad
21 A. Nasari
18 C. Markneh
14 K. Al Mershed
17 A. Khalaf
73 W. Ould Chikh
98 Z. Qunbar
7 A. Iwuala
Coach · Nasser Al Shatti
Substitutes
26 · A. Dashti
3 · Ammar Abdullah
16 · A. Al Rasool
10 · B. Al Salama
13 · Y. Al Khebizi
12 · H. Al Harbi
11 · T. Al Qaisi
19 · Y. Majed
89 · F. Al Dawood
9 · A. Al Doukhi
76 · T. Al-Matroud
Wathba
Formation not confirmed
95 K. Ibrahim
16 I. Al Khalil
25 Y. Al Hamawi
2 F. Atsama
6 K. Meshleb
20 Will
8 K. Hmeisha
5 S. Shoufan
24 M. Al Ghoul
19 A. Barakat
30 Francisco Politino
Coach · –
Substitutes
22 · M. Assi
98 · I. Haidar
27 · M. Farawi
99 · E. Laszo
14 · J. Al Bitar
40 · M. Horso Mwaku
7 · W. Al Rifaee
10 · A. Bota
23 · M. Mhanna
33 · A. Kullab
4 · M. Shofan
29 · N. Blaise
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Al Arabi
Formation not confirmed
22 S. Abdulghafoor
2 A. Al Awadi
5 J. Aboud
27 B. Souyad
21 A. Nasari
18 C. Markneh
14 K. Al Mershed
17 A. Khalaf
73 W. Ould Chikh
98 Z. Qunbar
7 A. Iwuala
Coach · Nasser Al Shatti
Substitutes
26 · A. Dashti
3 · Ammar Abdullah
16 · A. Al Rasool
10 · B. Al Salama
13 · Y. Al Khebizi
12 · H. Al Harbi
11 · T. Al Qaisi
19 · Y. Majed
89 · F. Al Dawood
9 · A. Al Doukhi
76 · T. Al-Matroud
Wathba
Formation not confirmed
95 K. Ibrahim
16 I. Al Khalil
25 Y. Al Hamawi
2 F. Atsama
6 K. Meshleb
20 Will
8 K. Hmeisha
5 S. Shoufan
24 M. Al Ghoul
19 A. Barakat
30 Francisco Politino
Coach · –
Substitutes
22 · M. Assi
98 · I. Haidar
27 · M. Farawi
99 · E. Laszo
14 · J. Al Bitar
40 · M. Horso Mwaku
7 · W. Al Rifaee
10 · A. Bota
23 · M. Mhanna
33 · A. Kullab
4 · M. Shofan
29 · N. Blaise
We make Al Arabi a 64% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.5, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 61%, 64% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Arabi win | 64% | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – |
| Wathba win | 11% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 33% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | – | – |
| Al Arabi or draw | 89% | – | – |
| Al Arabi clean sheet | 59% | – | – |
| Wathba clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · AFC Challenge League this season · since 11 Aug
AL ARABI
No matches in our record yet.
WATHBA