Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Welsh Cup › Newtown AFC v Llanuwchllyn

Back
Wales flag

Newtown AFC v Llanuwchllyn

Newtown AFC
7–0Full time
Llanuwchllyn

Welsh Cup · SAT 17 OCT · Latham Park

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
Newtown AFC 7–0 Llanuwchllyn NEWTOWN AFC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Newtown AFC win63%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.205

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Newtown AFC are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Newtown AFC 63%, draw 19%, Llanuwchllyn 18%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Newtown AFC v LlanuwchllynBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Newtown AFC win63%
Draw19%
Llanuwchllyn win18%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundRound of 64

VenueLatham Park

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Newtown AFC

Llanuwchllyn

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · FAW Championship

Last match: 10 Oct · FAW Championship

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · newtown afc winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
63% The market–
Us63%

We make Newtown AFC a 63% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Newtown AFC v Llanuwchllyn2.31 – 1.13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Newtown AFC win63%––
Draw19%––
Llanuwchllyn win18%––
Over 2.5 goals66%––
Both teams to score60%––
Over 1.5 goals85%––
Over 3.5 goals45%––
Newtown AFC or draw82%––
Newtown AFC clean sheet33%––
Llanuwchllyn clean sheet11%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.2%
0123450 3.5 4.0 2.2 1 7.8 8.2 4.7 2 8.5 9.2 5.2 2.0 3 6.4 7.0 3.9 4 3.8 4.1 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Newtown AFC down, Llanuwchllyn across0–5 goals a side shown (96.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026/27
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsNEW 4–0 LLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Welsh Cup this season

NEWTOWN AFC

No matches in our record yet.

LLANUWCHLLYN

No matches in our record yet.