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Model 1.1

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Denbigh Town v Bangor City 1876 FC

Denbigh Town
0–2Full time
Bangor City 1876 FC

Welsh Cup · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 22:30
Denbigh Town 0–2 Bangor City 1876 FC DENBIGH TOWN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Denbigh Town win45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.651

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Denbigh Town are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Denbigh Town 45%, draw 20%, Bangor City 1876 FC 36%. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 74%.

The AI’s read on Denbigh Town v Bangor City 1876 FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Denbigh Town win45%
Draw20%
Bangor City 1876 FC win36%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:45

RoundRound of 64

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Denbigh Town

Bangor City 1876 FC

6Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · FAW Championship

Last match: 10 Oct · FAW Championship

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · denbigh town winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Denbigh Town a 45% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.9, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Denbigh Town v Bangor City 1876 FC2.18 – 1.94

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Denbigh Town win45%––
Draw20%––
Bangor City 1876 FC win36%––
Over 2.5 goals77%––
Both teams to score74%––
Over 1.5 goals91%––
Over 3.5 goals58%––
Denbigh Town or draw64%––
Denbigh Town clean sheet15%––
Bangor City 1876 FC clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.3%
0123450 3.5 3.2 2.1 1 3.9 6.8 6.5 4.2 2.1 2 4.0 7.3 6.8 4.4 2.2 3 2.9 5.2 4.9 3.2 4 2.9 2.7 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Denbigh Town down, Bangor City 1876 FC across0–5 goals a side shown (95.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.55 of 5
Both scored5 of 5
Last meetingsDEN 1–2 BAN · DEN 2–1 BAN · BAN 3–4 DEN · DEN 2–2 BAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Welsh Cup this season

DENBIGH TOWN

No matches in our record yet.

BANGOR CITY 1876 FC

No matches in our record yet.