Carmarthen Town v Newport City
Carmarthen TownNewport CityWelsh Cup · SAT 17 OCT · Richmond Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassCarmarthen Town are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Carmarthen Town 50%, draw 22%, Newport City 28%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Carmarthen Town win50%Newport City win28%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00
RoundRound of 64
VenueRichmond Park
Match timeline
All events
Carmarthen TownMINNewport CityEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Carmarthen Town
Newport City
Last match: 10 Oct · FAW Championship
Last match: 9 Oct · FAW Championship
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Carmarthen Town a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carmarthen Town win | 50% | – | – |
| Draw | 22% | – | – |
| Newport City win | 28% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 61% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | – | – |
| Carmarthen Town or draw | 72% | – | – |
| Carmarthen Town clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Newport City clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2024/25Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Welsh Cup this season
CARMARTHEN TOWN
No matches in our record yet.
NEWPORT CITY
No matches in our record yet.