Cardiff MET v Ynyshir Albions
Cardiff METYnyshir AlbionsWelsh Cup · FRI 16 OCT · Cyncoed Campus
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassCardiff MET are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Cardiff MET 86%, draw 10%, Ynyshir Albions 4%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 42%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Cardiff MET win86%Ynyshir Albions win4%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:45
RoundRound of 64
VenueCyncoed Campus
Match timeline
All events
Cardiff METMINYnyshir AlbionsEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Cardiff MET
Ynyshir Albions
Last match: 9 Oct · the Welsh Premier League
Last match: 10 Oct · FAW Championship
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Cardiff MET an 86% chance to win. The market has them at 82%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 3.1–0.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 87%, 86% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 82% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff MET win | 86% | 82% | +4 |
| Draw | 10% | 12% | −2 |
| Ynyshir Albions win | 4% | 5% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 72% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 42% | 48% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 88% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49% | 54% | −5 |
| Cardiff MET or draw | 96% | 95% | +1 |
| Cardiff MET clean sheet | 57% | – | – |
| Ynyshir Albions clean sheet | 5% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2022/23No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Welsh Cup this season
CARDIFF MET
No matches in our record yet.
YNYSHIR ALBIONS
No matches in our record yet.