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Cambrian & Clydach v Trethomas Bluebirds

Cambrian & Clydach
5–0Full time
Trethomas Bluebirds

Welsh Cup · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 22:30
Cambrian & Clydach 5–0 Trethomas Bluebirds CAMBRIAN & CLYDACH WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Cambrian & Clydach win73%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.110

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cambrian & Clydach are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cambrian & Clydach 73%, draw 15%, Trethomas Bluebirds 12%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Cambrian & Clydach v Trethomas BluebirdsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Cambrian & Clydach win73%
Draw15%
Trethomas Bluebirds win12%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:45

RoundRound of 64

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cambrian & Clydach

Trethomas Bluebirds

7Days since last match6

Last match: 9 Oct · the Welsh Premier League

Last match: 10 Oct · FAW Championship

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cambrian & clydach winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 11 Oct 04:09 · locked at kick-off
73% The market–
Us73%

We make Cambrian & Clydach a 73% chance to win. The model expects 2.8–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Cambrian & Clydach v Trethomas Bluebirds2.85 – 1.01

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75%80% 10 OCT 04:0216 OCT 19:16
Our probability · Cambrian & Clydach win

Published at 74%, 73% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Cambrian & Clydach win73%––
Draw15%––
Trethomas Bluebirds win12%––
Over 2.5 goals72%––
Both teams to score58%––
Over 1.5 goals88%––
Over 3.5 goals52%––
Cambrian & Clydach or draw88%––
Cambrian & Clydach clean sheet37%––
Trethomas Bluebirds clean sheet7%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 8.4%
0123450 2.5 2.7 1 6.6 6.3 3.4 2 8.4 8.3 4.3 3 7.6 7.3 3.7 4 5.4 5.1 2.6 5 3.3 3.0
under 2% 5% 12%+Cambrian & Clydach down, Trethomas Bluebirds across0–5 goals a side shown (91.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored1 of 4
Last meetingsCAM 4–2 TRE · TRE 0–5 CAM · TRE 0–0 CAM · CAM 0–1 TRE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Welsh Cup this season

CAMBRIAN & CLYDACH

No matches in our record yet.

TRETHOMAS BLUEBIRDS

No matches in our record yet.