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Model 1.2

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Buckley Town v Colwyn Bay

Buckley Town
2–2Full time
Colwyn Bay

Welsh Cup · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
Buckley Town 2–2 Colwyn Bay COLWYN BAY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Colwyn Bay win73%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.256

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Colwyn Bay are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Buckley Town 11%, draw 16%, Colwyn Bay 73%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Buckley Town v Colwyn BayBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Buckley Town win11%
Draw16%
Colwyn Bay win73%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundRound of 64

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Buckley Town

Colwyn Bay

8Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · FAW Championship

Last match: 10 Oct · the Welsh Premier League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · colwyn bay winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
73% The market–
Us73%

We make Colwyn Bay a 73% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–2.6, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Buckley Town v Colwyn Bay0.92 – 2.61

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Buckley Town win11%––
Draw16%––
Colwyn Bay win73%––
Over 2.5 goals68%––
Both teams to score56%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals47%––
Buckley Town or draw27%––
Buckley Town clean sheet7%––
Colwyn Bay clean sheet40%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 10.0%
0123450 3.2 7.4 10.0 8.7 5.7 3.01 2.5 7.3 9.2 8.0 5.2 2.72 3.2 4.2 3.7 2.4 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Buckley Town down, Colwyn Bay across0–5 goals a side shown (95.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.56 of 7
Both scored6 of 7
Last meetingsCOL 3–1 BUC · BUC 2–2 COL · BUC 1–2 COL · COL 5–2 BUC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Welsh Cup this season

BUCKLEY TOWN

No matches in our record yet.

COLWYN BAY

No matches in our record yet.