Airbus UK v The New Saints
Airbus UKThe New SaintsWelsh Cup · FRI 16 OCT · The Airfield
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassThe New Saints are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Airbus UK 11%, draw 17%, The New Saints 71%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Airbus UK win11%The New Saints win71%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:45
RoundRound of 64
VenueThe Airfield
Match timeline
All events
Airbus UKMINThe New SaintsEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Airbus UK
The New Saints
Last match: 9 Oct · the Welsh Premier League
Last match: 9 Oct · the Welsh Premier League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make The New Saints a 71% chance to win. The market has them at 78%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–2.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 72%, 71% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 78% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Airbus UK win | 11% | 8% | +3 |
| Draw | 17% | 14% | +3 |
| The New Saints win | 71% | 78% | −7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 73% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 56% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 88% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 55% | −13 |
| Airbus UK or draw | 29% | 22% | +7 |
| Airbus UK clean sheet | 9% | – | – |
| The New Saints clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Welsh Cup this season
AIRBUS UK
No matches in our record yet.
THE NEW SAINTS
No matches in our record yet.