Colwyn Bay v Cambrian & Clydach prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Colwyn BayDrawCambrian & Clydach

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Colwyn Bay 66%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Colwyn Bay are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Colwyn Bay 66%, draw 18%, Cambrian & Clydach 16%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Colwyn Bay v Cambrian & ClydachBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Colwyn Bay win66%

Draw18%

Cambrian & Clydach win16%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 19:45

RoundMatchday 15

VenueLlanelian Road

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Colwyn Bay

Cambrian & Clydach

7Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · the Welsh Premier League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Colwyn Bay	14	+7	26
9	Cambrian & Clydach	14	−13	18

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · colwyn bay winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

66% The market–

Us66%

We make Colwyn Bay a 66% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Colwyn Bay v Cambrian & Clydach~~2.42 – 1.07

~~Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 15 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 26 v 18~~5 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Colwyn Bay win	66%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Cambrian & Clydach win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Colwyn Bay or draw	84%	–	–
Colwyn Bay clean sheet	35%	–	–
Cambrian & Clydach clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.1%

0123450 3.5 3.4 1 7.5 8.0 4.3 2 8.8 9.1 4.9 3 7.0 7.1 3.8 4 4.4 4.4 2.3 5 2.3 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Colwyn Bay down, Cambrian & Clydach across0–5 goals a side shown (95.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,085 Premier League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.5% of games this season, across 109 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Colwyn Bay at home: 2.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Cambrian & Clydach away: 1.67 scored, 3.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.42 goals for Colwyn Bay, 1.07 for Cambrian & Clydach. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 15 Sept

COLWYN BAY

WWWLWD5–0 · 5–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–2

CAMBRIAN & CLYDACH

WLWLLL4–0 · 1–9 · 4–3 · 0–9 · 0–1 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	The New Saints	14	+47	40
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	13	+21	31
3	Penybont	13	+14	30
4	Caernarfon Town	14	+24	29
5	Colwyn Bay	14	+7	26
6	Barry Town	13	+5	25
7	Airbus UK	14	+8	24
8	Cardiff MET	14	+8	22
9	Cambrian & Clydach	14	−13	18
10	Llandudno	13	−1	16
11	Briton Ferry	14	−12	12
12	Flint Town United	14	−11	11
13	Haverfordwest County AFC	13	−11	10
14	Ammanford AFC	14	−31	9
15	Trefelin	14	−25	6
16	Holywell	13	−30	2