Cardiff MET v Trefelin

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Cardiff MET win at 72%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Cardiff MET was 72% before kick-off and our model makes it 73% now. 0–0 · 73–17–10
3. 1′KICK-OFF Cardiff MET v Trefelin
4. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Cardiff MET 0–1 Trefelin
5. 13′Trefelin ahead on 8′ through L. Ware. 0–1. 0–1 · 44–26–30
6. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Cardiff MET win: 72% at kick-off, 44% now
7. 18′We said Cardiff MET at 72%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 42%. 0–1 · 42–27–32
8. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Cardiff MET win: 72% at kick-off, 42% now
9. 24′We said Cardiff MET at 72%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–1 · 38–28–34
10. 29′⚽ GOAL · 8' Cardiff MET 0–1 Trefelin · L. Ware
11. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Cardiff MET 0–2 Trefelin
12. 32′⚽ GOAL · 8' Cardiff MET 0–2 Trefelin · L. Ware
13. 32′⚽ GOAL · 30' Cardiff MET 0–2 Trefelin
14. 45′HALF-TIME Cardiff MET 0–2 Trefelin
15. 46′SECOND HALF Cardiff MET 0–2 Trefelin
16. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 50' Trefelin · On: R. Piper · Off: T. Brock
17. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Cardiff MET 1–2 Trefelin
18. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Cardiff MET · On: J. Clarke · Off: J. Hooper
19. 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Cardiff MET 1–3 Trefelin
20. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Cardiff MET · On: R. Reynolds · Off: H. Matthews
21. 90′⚽ GOAL · 95' Cardiff MET 2–3 Trefelin
22. FTCardiff MET 1–3 Trefelin · Cardiff MET win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.