Cambrian & Clydach v Airbus UK

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Airbus UK win at 48%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Airbus UK was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 31–21–48
3. 1′KICK-OFF Cambrian & Clydach v Airbus UK
4. 7′Cambrian & Clydach score on 6′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 53–20–28
5. 7′We said Airbus UK at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 1–0 · 53–20–28
6. 7′⚽ GOAL · 6' Cambrian & Clydach 1–0 Airbus UK
7. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Airbus UK win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
8. 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Cambrian & Clydach win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Airbus UK win 48%)
9. 20′We said Airbus UK at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 54–21–24
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.9 we expected. 1–0 · 56–22–22
11. 37′We said Airbus UK at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 58–23–19
12. 38′Cambrian & Clydach find the net on 38′. 2–0. 2–0 · 81–12–7
13. 38′We said Airbus UK at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 2–0 · 81–12–7
14. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Cambrian & Clydach 2–0 Airbus UK
15. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Airbus UK win: 48% at kick-off, 7% now
16. 45′A goal for Airbus UK on 45′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 60–24–17
17. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Cambrian & Clydach 2–1 Airbus UK
18. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Airbus UK win: 48% at kick-off, 17% now
19. 45′HALF-TIME Cambrian & Clydach 2–1 Airbus UK
20. 46′SECOND HALF Cambrian & Clydach 2–1 Airbus UK
21. 48′Airbus UK score on 47′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 28–33–39
22. 48′4 goals already, more than the 3.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 28–33–39
23. 48′⚽ GOAL · 47' Cambrian & Clydach 2–2 Airbus UK
24. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Airbus UK win: 48% at kick-off, 39% now
25. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Airbus UK win is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Cambrian & Clydach win 60%)
26. 52′48′: K. Cooke on the scoresheet for Airbus UK, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 27–35–38
27. 55′Airbus UK find the net on 55′. 2–3. 2–3 · 7–19–73
28. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Cambrian & Clydach 2–3 Airbus UK
29. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Airbus UK win: 48% at kick-off, 73% now
30. 56′We published Airbus UK at 48%. Our model now makes it 74%. 2–3 · 7–19–74
31. 57′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.9 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 7–19–74
32. 59′We published Airbus UK at 48%. Our model now makes it 75%. 2–3 · 7–19–75
33. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Airbus UK
34. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Airbus UK win: 48% at kick-off, 78% now
35. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Airbus UK · On: J. Parry · Off: O. Lancely
36. 72′We published Airbus UK at 48%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–3 · 3–17–80
37. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Cambrian & Clydach · On: D. Birch · Off: K. Lewis
38. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Airbus UK · On: J. Palmer · Off: J. Evans
39. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Airbus UK · On: M. Blackwell-Jones · Off: O. Calland
40. 79′We published Airbus UK at 48%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–3 · 2–13–85
41. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Cambrian & Clydach
42. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Cambrian & Clydach · On: A. Bonthron · Off: C. Strinati
43. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Airbus UK win: 48% at kick-off, 88% now
44. 84′We published Airbus UK at 48%. Our model now makes it 91%. 2–3 · 1–9–91
45. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Airbus UK · On: J. Hughes · Off: K. Cooke
46. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Airbus UK · On: J. Roberts · Off: G. Peers
47. 90′We published Airbus UK at 48%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–3 · 0–5–95
48. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Cambrian & Clydach · On: J. Joseph · Off: A. Evans
49. FTFULL TIME Cambrian & Clydach 2–3 Airbus UK
50. FTCambrian & Clydach 2–3 Airbus UK · Airbus UK win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.