Briton Ferry v Llandudno prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Briton FerryDrawLlandudno

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Briton Ferry 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Briton Ferry are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Briton Ferry 44%, draw 24%, Llandudno 32%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Briton Ferry v LlandudnoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Briton Ferry win44%

Draw24%

Llandudno win32%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 19:45

RoundMatchday 15

VenueOld Road

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Briton Ferry

Llandudno

7Days since last match6

Last match: 23 Oct · the Welsh Premier League

Last match: 24 Oct · the Welsh Premier League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Llandudno	13	−1	16
11	Briton Ferry	14	−12	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · briton ferry winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 00:27 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Briton Ferry a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Briton Ferry v Llandudno~~1.64 – 1.38

~~Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 15 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 12 v 16~~11 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Briton Ferry win

Published at 43%, 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Briton Ferry win	44%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Llandudno win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Briton Ferry or draw	68%	–	–
Briton Ferry clean sheet	26%	–	–
Llandudno clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 5.4 6.7 4.7 2.2 1 8.0 11.0 7.4 3.5 2 6.6 8.7 5.9 2.8 3 3.6 4.8 3.2 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Briton Ferry down, Llandudno across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,087 Premier League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.3% of games this season, across 111 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Briton Ferry at home: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Llandudno away: 1.00 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.64 goals for Briton Ferry, 1.38 for Llandudno. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 15 Sept

BRITON FERRY

LDDWLL2–3 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–3

LLANDUDNO

DLLLLL1–1 · 1–2 · 3–4 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	The New Saints	14	+47	40
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	13	+21	31
3	Penybont	13	+14	30
4	Caernarfon Town	14	+24	29
5	Colwyn Bay	14	+7	26
6	Barry Town	13	+5	25
7	Airbus UK	14	+8	24
8	Cardiff MET	14	+8	22
9	Cambrian & Clydach	14	−13	18
10	Llandudno	13	−1	16
11	Briton Ferry	14	−12	12
12	Flint Town United	14	−11	11
13	Haverfordwest County AFC	13	−11	10
14	Ammanford AFC	14	−31	9
15	Trefelin	14	−25	6
16	Holywell	13	−30	2