Rhyl v Newtown AFC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Newtown AFC win at 45%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Newtown AFC was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 32–24–44
3. 1′KICK-OFF Rhyl v Newtown AFC
4. 12′Rhyl find the net on 12′. 1–0. 1–0 · 57–22–21
5. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Rhyl 1–0 Newtown AFC
6. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Newtown AFC win: 45% at kick-off, 21% now
7. 12′THE CALL SWINGS · 12' Rhyl win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Newtown AFC win 43%)
8. 13′We said Newtown AFC at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 1–0 · 57–22–21
9. 18′A goal for Newtown AFC on 18′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 31–27–42
10. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Rhyl 1–1 Newtown AFC
11. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Newtown AFC win: 45% at kick-off, 42% now
12. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Newtown AFC win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Rhyl win 58%)
13. 45′HALF-TIME Rhyl 1–1 Newtown AFC
14. 46′SECOND HALF Rhyl 1–1 Newtown AFC
15. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Newtown AFC win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
16. 48′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–1 · 27–38–35
17. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Newtown AFC win 37%)
18. 53′We said Newtown AFC at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 26–41–33
19. 62′We said Newtown AFC at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 23–48–29
20. 64′65′: H. Boakye on the scoresheet for Newtown AFC, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 4–18–78
21. 64′⚽ GOAL · 65' Rhyl 1–2 Newtown AFC · H. Boakye
22. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Newtown AFC win: 45% at kick-off, 78% now
23. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Newtown AFC win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 50%)
24. 65′We published Newtown AFC at 45%. Our model now makes it 79%. 1–2 · 4–18–79
25. 68′We published Newtown AFC at 45%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
26. 76′We published Newtown AFC at 45%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–2 · 2–13–85
27. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Newtown AFC win: 45% at kick-off, 85% now
28. 82′We published Newtown AFC at 45%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–2 · 1–9–90
29. 84′Rhyl find the net on 84′. 2–2. 2–2 · 8–83–10
30. 84′We said Newtown AFC at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 10%. 2–2 · 8–83–10
31. 84′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 8–83–10
32. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Rhyl 2–2 Newtown AFC
33. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Newtown AFC win: 45% at kick-off, 10% now
34. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Draw is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Newtown AFC win 91%)
35. 85′We said Newtown AFC at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 7–84–9
36. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Newtown AFC win: 45% at kick-off, 5% now
37. 91′We said Newtown AFC at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–92–4
38. FTFULL TIME Rhyl 2–2 Newtown AFC
39. FTRhyl 2–2 Newtown AFC · Newtown AFC win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.