Newport City v Pontypridd Town

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Newport City win at 39%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Newport City 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–23–38
3. 1′KICK-OFF Newport City v Pontypridd Town
4. 7′A goal for Pontypridd Town on 6′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 18–20–62
5. 7′We said Newport City at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–20–62
6. 7′⚽ GOAL · 6' Newport City 0–1 Pontypridd Town
7. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Newport City win: 39% at kick-off, 18% now
8. 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Pontypridd Town win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Newport City win 38%)
9. 9′G. Tedstone scores for Pontypridd Town on 7′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 18–20–62
10. 21′Pontypridd Town score on 20′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 6–10–84
11. 21′We said Newport City at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 0–2 · 6–10–84
12. 21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Newport City 0–2 Pontypridd Town
13. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Newport City win: 39% at kick-off, 6% now
14. 30′We said Newport City at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–10–86
15. 45′HALF-TIME Newport City 0–3 Pontypridd Town
16. 46′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–2 · 3–8–90
17. 46′We said Newport City at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 3–4 · 10–22–68
18. 46′SECOND HALF Newport City 0–3 Pontypridd Town
19. 48′Pontypridd Town find the net on 45′. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–2–98 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
20. 48′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Newport City 0–3 Pontypridd Town
21. 67′A goal for Newport City on 67′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 1–4–95 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
22. 67′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 1–4–95 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
23. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Newport City 1–3 Pontypridd Town
24. 72′S. Johnson scores for Newport City on 58′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 0–3–97 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
25. 89′Newport City score on 89′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 0–5–94 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
26. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Newport City 2–3 Pontypridd Town
27. 90′5 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 0–5–95 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
28. 95′79′: R. Booth on the scoresheet for Newport City, making it 2–3. 2–3 · 0–2–98 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
29. 97′Newport City find the net on 90′. 3–3. 3–3 · 2–97–2 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
30. 97′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 2–97–2 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
31. 97′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Newport City 3–3 Pontypridd Town
32. 97′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+7' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Pontypridd Town win 98%)
33. 101′Newport City level it on 87′ through S. Johnson. 3–3. 3–3 · 2–97–2 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
34. 102′A goal for Pontypridd Town on 90′ — 3–4. 3–4 · 0–2–98
35. 102′⚽ GOAL · 90+12' Newport City 3–4 Pontypridd Town
36. 102′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+12' Pontypridd Town win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 97%)
37. 103′7 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 3–4 · 0–2–98
38. FTFULL TIME Newport City 3–4 Pontypridd Town
39. FTNewport City 4–4 Pontypridd Town · Newport City win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.