llanelli AFC v Afan Lido

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said llanelli AFC win at 43%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: llanelli AFC was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–21–37
3. 1′KICK-OFF llanelli AFC v Afan Lido
4. 8′Afan Lido find the net on 7′. 0–1. 0–1 · 22–20–58
5. 8′We said llanelli AFC at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 22–20–58
6. 8′⚽ GOAL · 7' llanelli AFC 0–1 Afan Lido
7. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 8' llanelli AFC win: 43% at kick-off, 22% now
8. 8′THE CALL SWINGS · 8' Afan Lido win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was llanelli AFC win 42%)
9. 15′PENALTY MISSED · 14' Afan Lido
10. 22′We said llanelli AFC at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–21–60
11. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.6 we expected. 0–1 · 17–21–61
12. 32′A goal for Afan Lido on 32′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 6–11–83
13. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' llanelli AFC 0–2 Afan Lido
14. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' llanelli AFC win: 43% at kick-off, 6% now
15. 33′We said llanelli AFC at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 0–2 · 6–11–83
16. 41′We said llanelli AFC at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–10–85
17. 45′HALF-TIME llanelli AFC 0–2 Afan Lido
18. 46′SECOND HALF llanelli AFC 0–2 Afan Lido
19. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' llanelli AFC win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
20. 55′Afan Lido score on 54′ to make it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–2–98
21. 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' llanelli AFC 0–3 Afan Lido
22. 57′55′: J. De Meyer on the scoresheet for Afan Lido, making it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–2–98
23. FTFULL TIME llanelli AFC 0–3 Afan Lido
24. FTllanelli AFC 0–3 Afan Lido · llanelli AFC win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.