Carmarthen Town v Caerphilly Athletic

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Carmarthen Town win at 57%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Carmarthen Town 57% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 57–20–24
3. 1′KICK-OFF Carmarthen Town v Caerphilly Athletic
4. 3′Caerphilly Athletic score on 2′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 35–21–44
5. 3′We said Carmarthen Town at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 0–1 · 35–21–44
6. 3′⚽ GOAL · 2' Carmarthen Town 0–1 Caerphilly Athletic
7. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Carmarthen Town win: 57% at kick-off, 35% now
8. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Caerphilly Athletic win is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Carmarthen Town win 56%)
9. 5′3′: F. Skiverton on the scoresheet for Caerphilly Athletic, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 34–22–44
10. 5′We said Carmarthen Town at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–22–44
11. 9′Caerphilly Athletic find the net on 8′. 0–2. 0–2 · 17–16–67
12. 9′We said Carmarthen Town at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 0–2 · 17–16–67
13. 9′⚽ GOAL · 8' Carmarthen Town 0–2 Caerphilly Athletic
14. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 9' Carmarthen Town win: 57% at kick-off, 17% now
15. 14′Caerphilly Athletic ahead on 9′ through D. Perrett. 0–2. 0–2 · 15–16–68
16. 18′We said Carmarthen Town at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–2 · 14–16–70
17. 23′A goal for Caerphilly Athletic on 23′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 5–8–87
18. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Carmarthen Town 0–3 Caerphilly Athletic
19. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Carmarthen Town win: 57% at kick-off, 5% now
20. 24′We said Carmarthen Town at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 0–3 · 5–8–87
21. 26′We said Carmarthen Town at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–3 · 4–8–88
22. 30′J. Evans scores for Caerphilly Athletic on 24′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 4–7–89
23. 45′HALF-TIME Carmarthen Town 0–3 Caerphilly Athletic
24. 46′SECOND HALF Carmarthen Town 0–3 Caerphilly Athletic
25. 64′Carmarthen Town score on 64′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 2–8–90
26. 64′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.6 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 2–8–90
27. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Carmarthen Town 1–3 Caerphilly Athletic
28. FTFULL TIME Carmarthen Town 1–3 Caerphilly Athletic
29. FTCarmarthen Town 1–3 Caerphilly Athletic · Carmarthen Town win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.