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Buckley Town v Holyhead Hotspur
Buckley Town
Holyhead HotspurFAW Championship · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Buckley Town win at 49%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Buckley Town 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–21–30
- 1′KICK-OFF Buckley Town v Holyhead Hotspur
- 45′HALF-TIME Buckley Town 0–0 Holyhead Hotspur
- 46′SECOND HALF Buckley Town 0–0 Holyhead Hotspur
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+2' Buckley Town win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
- 53′We said Buckley Town at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 37%. 0–0 · 37–37–26
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 36–38–25
- 56′Holyhead Hotspur score on 55′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 3–9–88
- 56′We said Buckley Town at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 0–2 · 3–9–88
- 56′The goal count is tracking the 3.6 we expected. 0–2 · 3–9–88
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 55' Buckley Town 0–2 Holyhead Hotspur
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Buckley Town win: 49% at kick-off, 3% now
- 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Holyhead Hotspur win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Buckley Town win 37%)
- 58′54′: C. Owen on the scoresheet for Holyhead Hotspur, making it 0–2. 0–2 · 3–8–89
- FTFULL TIME Buckley Town 0–2 Holyhead Hotspur
- FTBuckley Town 0–2 Holyhead Hotspur · Buckley Town win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Buckley Town are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Buckley Town 49%, draw 21%, Holyhead Hotspur 30%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 67%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Buckley Town win49%
Holyhead Hotspur win30%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:30
RoundNorth · matchday 12
Match timeline
All events
Buckley TownMIN
Holyhead HotspurEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Buckley Town
Holyhead Hotspur
Last match: 17 Oct · Welsh Cup
Last match: 17 Oct · Welsh Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Buckley Town a 49% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buckley Town win | 49% | – | – |
| Draw | 21% | – | – |
| Holyhead Hotspur win | 30% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 67% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | – | – |
| Buckley Town or draw | 70% | – | – |
| Buckley Town clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
| Holyhead Hotspur clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in FAW Championship this season · since 31 Aug
BUCKLEY TOWN
HOLYHEAD HOTSPUR
The table
2026/27 · North| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 11 | +16 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 10 | +15 | 23 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | +14 | 21 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 11 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 11 | −7 | 14 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 11 | −2 | 11 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 11 | −3 | 10 |
| 13 | Ruthin Town | 11 | −11 | 9 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | −7 | 8 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 10 | −16 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | −29 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Brickfield Rangers
Newtown AFC
Porthmadog
Mold Alexandra
Bala Town
Caersws
Bangor City 1876 FC
Guilsfield
Llanuwchllyn
Rhyl
Denbigh Town
Ruthin Town
Gresford Athletic
Penrhyncoch