Brickfield Rangers v Bala Town prediction · FAW Championship

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Brickfield RangersDrawBala Town

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Brickfield Rangers 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Brickfield Rangers are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Brickfield Rangers 56%, draw 20%, Bala Town 24%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Brickfield Rangers v Bala TownBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Brickfield Rangers win56%

Draw20%

Bala Town win24%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:00

RoundNorth · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Brickfield Rangers

Bala Town

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · FAW Championship

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · brickfield rangers winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Brickfield Rangers a 56% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Brickfield Rangers v Bala Town~~2.17 – 1.34

~~Form · last six in FAW Championship this season · since 5 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 30 v 20~~1 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Brickfield Rangers win	56%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Bala Town win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Brickfield Rangers or draw	76%	–	–
Brickfield Rangers clean sheet	27%	–	–
Bala Town clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.2 4.4 2.9 1 6.9 8.5 5.8 2.6 2 7.0 9.0 5.9 2.7 3 5.0 6.4 4.2 4 2.8 3.5 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Brickfield Rangers down, Bala Town across0–5 goals a side shown (96.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,557 FAW Championship matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: FAW Championship matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.3% of games this season, across 172 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Brickfield Rangers at home: 2.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Bala Town away: 2.33 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.17 goals for Brickfield Rangers, 1.34 for Bala Town. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in FAW Championship this season · since 5 Sept

BRICKFIELD RANGERS

WWWWLW2–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 0–4 · 1–0

BALA TOWN

LWLDLD2–5 · 1–0 · 2–4 · 3–3 · 2–3 · 3–3

The table

2026/27 · North

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brickfield Rangers	12	+17	30
2	Newtown AFC	11	+15	24
3	Porthmadog	12	+6	23
4	Mold Alexandra	11	+14	21
5	Bala Town	12	+2	20
6	Caersws	11	+7	19
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	11	+6	18
8	Guilsfield	12	+2	17
9	Buckley Town	12	+4	15
10	Llanuwchllyn	12	−7	15
11	Rhyl	12	−2	12
12	Holyhead Hotspur	11	−5	11
13	Denbigh Town	11	−3	10
14	Ruthin Town	11	−11	9
15	Gresford Athletic	10	−16	7
16	Penrhyncoch	11	−29	1