Bangor City 1876 FC v Ruthin Town prediction · FAW Championship

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Bangor City 1876 FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bangor City 1876 FC 59%, draw 20%, Ruthin Town 21%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Bangor City 1876 FC v Ruthin TownBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

Bangor City 1876 FC win59%

Draw20%

Ruthin Town win21%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:30

RoundNorth · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bangor City 1876 FC

Ruthin Town

8Days since last match15

Last match: 16 Oct · Welsh Cup

Last match: 9 Oct · FAW Championship

2Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	11	+6	18
13	Ruthin Town	11	−11	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bangor city 1876 fc winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

59% The market68%

Us59%

~~Market~~68%

We make Bangor City 1876 FC a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 68%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bangor City 1876 FC v Ruthin Town~~2.21 – 1.23

~~Form · last six in FAW Championship this season · since 31 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 18 v 9~~7 v 13

~~The market · Bangor City 1876 FC win~~68% · ours 59%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Bangor City 1876 FC win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 68% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bangor City 1876 FC win	59%	68%	−9
Draw	20%	19%	+1
Ruthin Town win	21%	14%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	66%	68%	−2
Both teams to score	61%	59%	+2
Over 1.5 goals	85%	85%	0
Over 3.5 goals	45%	48%	−3
Bangor City 1876 FC or draw	79%	86%	−7
Bangor City 1876 FC clean sheet	30%	–	–
Ruthin Town clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.1%

0123450 3.5 4.3 2.6 1 7.4 8.5 5.3 2.2 2 7.8 9.1 5.6 2.4 3 5.7 6.6 4.1 4 3.2 3.7 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bangor City 1876 FC down, Ruthin Town across0–5 goals a side shown (96.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,552 FAW Championship matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: FAW Championship matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.5% of games this season, across 167 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.20 goals a meeting; 3 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bangor City 1876 FC at home: 2.17 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Ruthin Town away: 1.00 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.21 goals for Bangor City 1876 FC, 1.23 for Ruthin Town. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.20

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 5

~~Both scored~~1 of 5

~~Last meetings~~RUT 1–0 BAN · BAN 3–0 RUT · RUT 2–1 BAN · BAN 0–0 RUT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in FAW Championship this season · since 31 Aug

BANGOR CITY 1876 FC

LDWLLD1–2 · 2–2 · 5–1 · 2–6 · 0–1 · 0–0

RUTHIN TOWN

LLLWDD0–2 · 0–3 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27 · North

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brickfield Rangers	11	+16	27
2	Newtown AFC	10	+15	23
3	Porthmadog	11	+7	23
4	Mold Alexandra	11	+14	21
5	Bala Town	11	+2	19
6	Caersws	10	+7	18
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	11	+6	18
8	Guilsfield	11	+2	16
9	Buckley Town	11	+6	15
10	Llanuwchllyn	11	−7	14
11	Rhyl	11	−2	11
12	Denbigh Town	11	−3	10
13	Ruthin Town	11	−11	9
14	Holyhead Hotspur	10	−7	8
15	Gresford Athletic	10	−16	7
16	Penrhyncoch	11	−29	1