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Xuan Thien Phu Tho v Pho Hien
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
Pho HienV.League 2 · THU 22 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Pho Hien win at 42%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Xuan Thien Phu Tho v Pho Hien
- 2′Much as we predicted: Pho Hien was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 33–26–41
- 9′A goal for Pho Hien on 9′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 16–17–67
- 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Xuan Thien Phu Tho 0–1 Pho Hien
- 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Pho Hien win: 42% at kick-off, 67% now
- 10′We published Pho Hien at 42%. Our model now makes it 67%. 0–1 · 16–17–67
- 21′Xuan Thien Phu Tho score on 21′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 32–28–40
- 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Xuan Thien Phu Tho 1–1 Pho Hien
- 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Pho Hien win: 42% at kick-off, 40% now
- 39′Xuan Thien Phu Tho find the net on 39′. 2–1. 2–1 · 63–22–15
- 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2–1 Pho Hien
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Pho Hien win: 42% at kick-off, 15% now
- 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Xuan Thien Phu Tho win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Pho Hien win 37%)
- 40′We said Pho Hien at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 2–1 · 64–22–15
- 41′We said Pho Hien at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–1 · 64–22–14
- 45′4 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 29–36–35
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2–2 Pho Hien
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Pho Hien win: 42% at kick-off, 35% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2–2 Pho Hien
- 46′A goal for Pho Hien on 45′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 29–36–35
- 46′SECOND HALF Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2–2 Pho Hien
- 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Xuan Thien Phu Tho win 65%)
- 59′We said Pho Hien at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 2–2 · 25–45–30
- 61′We said Pho Hien at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 24–46–29
- 70′We said Pho Hien at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 20–56–24
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Pho Hien win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Pho Hien win: 42% at kick-off, 11% now
- 85′We said Pho Hien at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 8–83–9
- 87′Pho Hien score on 87′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 0–6–93
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2–3 Pho Hien
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Pho Hien win: 42% at kick-off, 93% now
- 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Pho Hien win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 86%)
- 88′We published Pho Hien at 42%. Our model now makes it 94%. 2–3 · 0–6–94
- 89′We published Pho Hien at 42%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–3 · 0–5–95
- 90′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–4–95
- FTFULL TIME Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2–3 Pho Hien
- FTXuan Thien Phu Tho 2–3 Pho Hien · Pho Hien win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Pho Hien are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Xuan Thien Phu Tho 33%, draw 25%, Pho Hien 42%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Xuan Thien Phu Tho win33%
Pho Hien win42%Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 12:00
RoundMatchday 4
Match timeline
All events
Xuan Thien Phu ThoMIN
Pho HienEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
Pho Hien
Last match: 17 Oct · V.League 2
Last match: 17 Oct · V.League 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Pho Hien a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xuan Thien Phu Tho win | 33% | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – |
| Pho Hien win | 42% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 61% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | – | – |
| Xuan Thien Phu Tho or draw | 58% | – | – |
| Xuan Thien Phu Tho clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Pho Hien clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2025/26No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · V.League 2 this season · since 11 Sept
XUAN THIEN PHU THO
PHO HIEN
The table
2027| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thai Nguyen | 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 | Hung Yen | 3 | +10 | 7 |
| 3 | Sanna Khanh Hoa | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 4 | Binh Duong | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 5 | Dong Thap | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 | Than Quang Ninh | 3 | −1 | 4 |
| 7 | Pho Hien | 3 | −2 | 4 |
| 8 | Văn Hiến | 3 | −2 | 4 |
| 9 | Lam Dong | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Ho Chi Minh | 3 | −1 | 3 |
| 11 | Long An | 3 | −2 | 1 |
| 12 | Binh Dinh | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 13 | Bóng đá Huế | 3 | −5 | 1 |
| 14 | Xuan Thien Phu Tho | 3 | −9 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Thai Nguyen
Hung Yen
Sanna Khanh Hoa
Binh Duong
Dong Thap
Than Quang Ninh
Văn Hiến
Lam Dong
Ho Chi Minh
Long An
Binh Dinh
Bóng đá Huế