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Xuan Thien Phu Tho v Pho Hien

Xuan Thien Phu Tho
2–3Full time
Pho Hien

V.League 2 · THU 22 OCT

Full timeGraded 22 Oct 14:30
Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2–3 Pho Hien PHO HIEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Pho Hien win42%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.515

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 19 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Pho Hien win at 42%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Xuan Thien Phu Tho v Pho Hien
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: Pho Hien was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 33–26–41
  4. 9′A goal for Pho Hien on 9′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 16–17–67
  5. 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Xuan Thien Phu Tho 0–1 Pho Hien
  6. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Pho Hien win: 42% at kick-off, 67% now
  7. 10′We published Pho Hien at 42%. Our model now makes it 67%. 0–1 · 16–17–67
  8. 21′Xuan Thien Phu Tho score on 21′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 32–28–40
  9. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Xuan Thien Phu Tho 1–1 Pho Hien
  10. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Pho Hien win: 42% at kick-off, 40% now
  11. 39′Xuan Thien Phu Tho find the net on 39′. 2–1. 2–1 · 63–22–15
  12. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2–1 Pho Hien
  13. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Pho Hien win: 42% at kick-off, 15% now
  14. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Xuan Thien Phu Tho win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Pho Hien win 37%)
  15. 40′We said Pho Hien at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 2–1 · 64–22–15
  16. 41′We said Pho Hien at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–1 · 64–22–14
  17. 45′4 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 29–36–35
  18. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2–2 Pho Hien
  19. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Pho Hien win: 42% at kick-off, 35% now
  20. 45′HALF-TIME Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2–2 Pho Hien
  21. 46′A goal for Pho Hien on 45′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 29–36–35
  22. 46′SECOND HALF Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2–2 Pho Hien
  23. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Xuan Thien Phu Tho win 65%)
  24. 59′We said Pho Hien at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 2–2 · 25–45–30
  25. 61′We said Pho Hien at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 24–46–29
  26. 70′We said Pho Hien at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 20–56–24
  27. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Pho Hien win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
  28. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Pho Hien win: 42% at kick-off, 11% now
  29. 85′We said Pho Hien at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 8–83–9
  30. 87′Pho Hien score on 87′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 0–6–93
  31. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2–3 Pho Hien
  32. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Pho Hien win: 42% at kick-off, 93% now
  33. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Pho Hien win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 86%)
  34. 88′We published Pho Hien at 42%. Our model now makes it 94%. 2–3 · 0–6–94
  35. 89′We published Pho Hien at 42%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–3 · 0–5–95
  36. 90′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–4–95
  37. FTFULL TIME Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2–3 Pho Hien
  38. FTXuan Thien Phu Tho 2–3 Pho Hien · Pho Hien win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Pho Hien are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Xuan Thien Phu Tho 33%, draw 25%, Pho Hien 42%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Xuan Thien Phu Tho v Pho HienBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Xuan Thien Phu Tho win33%
Draw25%
Pho Hien win42%

Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Pho Hien

5Days since last match5

Last match: 17 Oct · V.League 2

Last match: 17 Oct · V.League 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2027

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Pho Hien3−24
14Xuan Thien Phu Tho3−91

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · pho hien winFirst published 18 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
42% The market–
Us42%

We make Pho Hien a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Xuan Thien Phu Tho v Pho Hien1.49 – 1.75
Form · V.League 2 this season · since 11 SeptW0 D1 L2 · W1 D1 L1
Table places · points 1 v 414 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Xuan Thien Phu Tho win33%––
Draw25%––
Pho Hien win42%––
Over 2.5 goals60%––
Both teams to score61%––
Over 1.5 goals82%––
Over 3.5 goals39%––
Xuan Thien Phu Tho or draw58%––
Xuan Thien Phu Tho clean sheet21%––
Pho Hien clean sheet25%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%
0123450 6.7 6.0 5.8 3.4 1 5.4 11.2 7.7 4.4 2.1 2 4.9 7.1 5.5 3.1 3 2.4 3.5 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Xuan Thien Phu Tho down, Pho Hien across0–5 goals a side shown (96.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · V.League 2 this season · since 11 Sept

XUAN THIEN PHU THO

DLL1–1 · 1–8 · 0–2

PHO HIEN

WLD2–1 · 1–4 · 1–1

The table

2027
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Thai Nguyen3+79
2Hung Yen3+107
3Sanna Khanh Hoa3+47
4Binh Duong3+37
5Dong Thap3+16
6Than Quang Ninh3−14
7Pho Hien3−24
8Văn Hiến3−24
9Lam Dong303
10Ho Chi Minh3−13
11Long An3−21
12Binh Dinh3−31
13Bóng đá Huế3−51
14Xuan Thien Phu Tho3−91

The competition's standings before kick-off.