Xuan Thien Phu Tho v Binh Duong prediction · V.League 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Xuan Thien Phu ThoDrawBinh Duong

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Xuan Thien Phu Tho 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Xuan Thien Phu Tho just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Xuan Thien Phu Tho 38%, draw 25%, Binh Duong 37%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Xuan Thien Phu Tho v Binh DuongBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Xuan Thien Phu Tho win38%

Draw25%

Binh Duong win37%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Binh Duong

9Days since last match8

Last match: 22 Oct · V.League 2

Last match: 23 Oct · V.League 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Binh Duong	4	+2	7
14	Xuan Thien Phu Tho	4	−10	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · xuan thien phu tho winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Xuan Thien Phu Tho a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Xuan Thien Phu Tho v Binh Duong~~1.69 – 1.70

~~Form · V.League 2 this season · since 13 Sept~~W0 D1 L3 · W2 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 1 v 7~~14 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Xuan Thien Phu Tho win	38%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Binh Duong win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Xuan Thien Phu Tho or draw	63%	–	–
Xuan Thien Phu Tho clean sheet	21%	–	–
Binh Duong clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%

0123450 5.5 4.7 4.8 2.7 1 5.0 10.7 7.5 4.2 2 5.2 7.8 6.1 3.4 3 2.9 4.4 3.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Xuan Thien Phu Tho down, Binh Duong across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 602 V.League 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: V.League 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Xuan Thien Phu Tho at home: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Binh Duong away: 1.00 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.69 goals for Xuan Thien Phu Tho, 1.70 for Binh Duong. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · V.League 2 this season · since 13 Sept

XUAN THIEN PHU THO

DLLL1–1 · 1–8 · 0–2 · 2–3

BINH DUONG

DWWL0–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Thai Nguyen	4	+8	12
2	Hung Yen	4	+12	10
3	Sanna Khanh Hoa	4	+4	8
4	Binh Duong	4	+2	7
5	Pho Hien	4	−1	7
6	Văn Hiến	4	−1	7
7	Dong Thap	4	0	6
8	Than Quang Ninh	4	−1	5
9	Binh Dinh	4	+1	4
10	Ho Chi Minh	4	−1	4
11	Lam Dong	4	−4	3
12	Bóng đá Huế	4	−5	2
13	Long An	4	−4	1
14	Xuan Thien Phu Tho	4	−10	1