Văn Hiến v Xuan Thien Phu Tho prediction · V.League 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Văn HiếnDrawXuan Thien Phu Tho

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Văn Hiến 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Văn Hiến are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Văn Hiến 53%, draw 25%, Xuan Thien Phu Tho 22%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Văn Hiến v Xuan Thien Phu ThoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Văn Hiến win53%

Draw25%

Xuan Thien Phu Tho win22%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Văn Hiến

Xuan Thien Phu Tho

5Days since last match5

Last match: 22 Oct · V.League 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Văn Hiến	4	−1	7
14	Xuan Thien Phu Tho	4	−10	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · văn hiến winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 23 Oct 00:15 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Văn Hiến a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Văn Hiến v Xuan Thien Phu Tho~~1.92 – 1.13

~~Form · V.League 2 this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D1 L1 · W0 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 7 v 1~~6 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Văn Hiến win

Published at 51%, 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Văn Hiến win	53%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Xuan Thien Phu Tho win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Văn Hiến or draw	78%	–	–
Văn Hiến clean sheet	34%	–	–
Xuan Thien Phu Tho clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 7.2 4.4 3.2 1 8.2 11.4 5.5 2.2 2 8.5 9.0 5.0 3 5.4 5.6 3.1 4 2.7 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Văn Hiến down, Xuan Thien Phu Tho across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 602 V.League 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: V.League 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Văn Hiến at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Xuan Thien Phu Tho away: 1.67 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.92 goals for Văn Hiến, 1.13 for Xuan Thien Phu Tho. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~XUA 2–0 VAN · VAN 0–2 XUA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · V.League 2 this season · since 13 Sept

VĂN HIẾN

DWLW0–0 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 3–2

XUAN THIEN PHU THO

DLLL1–1 · 1–8 · 0–2 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Thai Nguyen	4	+8	12
2	Hung Yen	4	+12	10
3	Sanna Khanh Hoa	4	+4	8
4	Binh Duong	4	+2	7
5	Pho Hien	4	−1	7
6	Văn Hiến	4	−1	7
7	Dong Thap	4	0	6
8	Than Quang Ninh	4	−1	5
9	Binh Dinh	4	+1	4
10	Ho Chi Minh	4	−1	4
11	Lam Dong	4	−4	3
12	Bóng đá Huế	4	−5	2
13	Long An	4	−4	1
14	Xuan Thien Phu Tho	4	−10	1