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Long An v Than Quang Ninh

Long An
0–0Full time
Than Quang Ninh

V.League 2 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18
Long An 0–0 Than Quang Ninh LONG AN WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Long An win35%
The market said36%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.660
The market’s Brier score0.769

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 5 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Long An win at 35%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Long An was 35% before kick-off and our model makes it 36% now. 0–0 · 36–31–33
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Long An v Than Quang Ninh
  4. 30′THE CALL SWINGS · 30' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Long An win 32%)
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Long An 0–0 Than Quang Ninh
  6. 46′SECOND HALF Long An 0–0 Than Quang Ninh
  7. FTFULL TIME Long An 0–0 Than Quang Ninh
  8. FTLong An 0–0 Than Quang Ninh · Long An win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Long An win35%
Draw34%
Than Quang Ninh win32%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · long an winPublished 10 Oct 09:34
35% The market36%
Us35%
Market36%

We make Long An a 35% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.0–1.0.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40% 9 OCT 06:2110 OCT 04:00
Our probability · long an win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Long An win35%36%−1
Draw34%28%+5
Than Quang Ninh win32%36%−4
Over 2.5 goals33%44%−11
Both teams to score41%50%−10
Over 1.5 goals61%68%−7
Over 3.5 goals16%24%−9
Long An or draw68%64%+4
Long An clean sheet39%––
Than Quang Ninh clean sheet37%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 15.9%
0123450 15.9 11.4 6.4 2.3 1 11.9 14.1 6.2 2.1 2 7.1 6.6 3.2 3 2.7 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Long An down, Than Quang Ninh across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsLON 1–0 THA · THA 1–1 LON

Form · last six in V.League 2

LONG AN

DDDLLL0–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 1–2

THAN QUANG NINH

LDWDWL0–1 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 4–2 · 0–3

The table

2027/28
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Thai Nguyen2+46
2Văn Hiến2+14
3Hung Yen1+33
4Pho Hien1+13
5Ho Chi Minh203
6Dong Thap2−13
7Sanna Khanh Hoa101
8Xuan Thien Phu Tho101
9Binh Duong101
10Binh Dinh1−10
11Long An1−10
12Lam Dong1−10
13Bóng đá Huế1−20
14Than Quang Ninh1−30

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.