Long An v Thai Nguyen prediction · V.League 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Long AnDrawThai Nguyen

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 08:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Thai Nguyen 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Thai Nguyen are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Long An 23%, draw 30%, Thai Nguyen 48%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Long An v Thai NguyenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Long An win23%

Draw30%

Thai Nguyen win48%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 08:30

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Long An

Thai Nguyen

4Days since last match5

Last match: 24 Oct · V.League 2

Last match: 23 Oct · V.League 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · thai nguyen winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:27 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Thai Nguyen a 48% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Long An v Thai Nguyen~~0.90 – 1.44

~~Form · V.League 2 this season · since 11 Sept~~W0 D1 L3 · W4 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 1 v 12~~13 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Thai Nguyen win

Published at 44%, 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Long An win	23%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Thai Nguyen win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	41%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Long An or draw	52%	–	–
Long An clean sheet	25%	–	–
Thai Nguyen clean sheet	42%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%

0123450 12.2 12.3 9.8 4.9 1 7.1 13.2 8.2 4.0 2 4.1 5.4 3.8 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Long An down, Thai Nguyen across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 602 V.League 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: V.League 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Long An at home: 0.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Thai Nguyen away: 3.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

0.90 goals for Long An, 1.44 for Thai Nguyen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · V.League 2 this season · since 11 Sept

LONG AN

LDLL1–2 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–3

THAI NGUYEN

WWWW2–1 · 3–0 · 4–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Thai Nguyen	4	+8	12
2	Hung Yen	4	+12	10
3	Sanna Khanh Hoa	4	+4	8
4	Binh Duong	4	+2	7
5	Pho Hien	4	−1	7
6	Văn Hiến	4	−1	7
7	Dong Thap	4	0	6
8	Than Quang Ninh	4	−1	5
9	Binh Dinh	4	+1	4
10	Ho Chi Minh	4	−1	4
11	Lam Dong	4	−4	3
12	Bóng đá Huế	4	−5	2
13	Long An	4	−4	1
14	Xuan Thien Phu Tho	4	−10	1