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Long An v Sanna Khanh Hoa

Long An
0–1Full time
Sanna Khanh Hoa

V.League 2 · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 12:06
Long An 0–1 Sanna Khanh Hoa DRAW · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said a draw36%
The market said29%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.663
The market’s Brier score0.533

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 36%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: the draw 36% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 31–36–33
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Long An v Sanna Khanh Hoa
  4. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 46% now
  5. 41′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 48%. 0–0 · 25–48–27
  6. 42′A goal for Sanna Khanh Hoa on 42′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 6–19–75
  7. 42′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 6–19–75
  8. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Long An 0–1 Sanna Khanh Hoa
  9. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 19% now
  10. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Sanna Khanh Hoa win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Draw 19%)
  11. 43′The goal count is tracking the 1.8 we expected. 0–1 · 6–19–75
  12. 45′HALF-TIME Long An 0–1 Sanna Khanh Hoa
  13. 46′SECOND HALF Long An 0–1 Sanna Khanh Hoa
  14. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 16% now
  15. 67′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 2–14–84
  16. 79′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 1–9–91
  17. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 6% now
  18. 86′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 0–4–95
  19. FTFULL TIME Long An 0–1 Sanna Khanh Hoa
  20. FTLong An 0–1 Sanna Khanh Hoa · Draw: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: Long An 31%, draw 36%, Sanna Khanh Hoa 34%. Over 2.5 goals 28%, both teams to score 36%.

The AI’s read on Long An v Sanna Khanh HoaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Long An win31%
Draw36%
Sanna Khanh Hoa win34%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 09:30

RoundMatchday 3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Long An

Sanna Khanh Hoa

8Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · V.League 2

Last match: 11 Oct · V.League 2

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2027

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Sanna Khanh Hoa2+34
11Long An2−11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
36% The market29%
Us36%
Market29%

We make the draw a 36% chance. The market has it at 29%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Long An v Sanna Khanh Hoa0.89 – 0.95
Form · V.League 2 this season · since 11 SeptW0 D1 L1 · W1 D1 L0
Table places · points 1 v 411 v 4
The market · Draw29% · ours 36%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40% 12 OCT 04:0718 OCT 09:15
Our probability · Draw The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 29% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Long An win31%30%+1
Draw36%29%+7
Sanna Khanh Hoa win34%40%−6
Over 2.5 goals28%42%−14
Both teams to score36%49%−13
Over 1.5 goals56%67%−11
Over 3.5 goals12%22%−10
Long An or draw66%60%+6
Long An clean sheet40%––
Sanna Khanh Hoa clean sheet43%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 18.8%
0123450 18.8 13.3 7.2 2.5 1 12.1 13.9 5.8 2 6.4 5.7 2.7 3 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Long An down, Sanna Khanh Hoa across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting1.71
Over 2.51 of 7
Both scored2 of 7
Last meetingsLON 0–0 SAN · SAN 2–0 LON · LON 1–1 SAN · SAN 0–1 LON

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · V.League 2 this season · since 11 Sept

LONG AN

LD1–2 · 0–0

SANNA KHANH HOA

DW1–1 · 4–1

The table

2027
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Hung Yen3+107
2Thai Nguyen2+46
3Dong Thap3+16
4Sanna Khanh Hoa2+34
5Binh Duong2+24
6Than Quang Ninh3−14
7Pho Hien3−24
8Văn Hiến3−24
9Lam Dong303
10Ho Chi Minh203
11Long An2−11
12Bóng đá Huế2−21
13Binh Dinh3−31
14Xuan Thien Phu Tho3−91

The competition's standings before kick-off.