Lam Dong v Pho Hien prediction · V.League 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Lam DongDrawPho Hien

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 08:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Pho Hien 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Pho Hien just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Lam Dong 34%, draw 28%, Pho Hien 38%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Lam Dong v Pho HienBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Lam Dong win34%

Draw28%

Pho Hien win38%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 08:30

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lam Dong

Pho Hien

4Days since last match5

Last match: 23 Oct · V.League 2

Last match: 22 Oct · V.League 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Pho Hien	4	−1	7
11	Lam Dong	4	−4	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · pho hien winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:24 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Pho Hien a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Lam Dong v Pho Hien~~1.35 – 1.43

~~Form · V.League 2 this season · since 11 Sept~~W1 D0 L3 · W2 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 3 v 7~~11 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Pho Hien win

Published at 32%, 38% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lam Dong win	34%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Pho Hien win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Lam Dong or draw	62%	–	–
Lam Dong clean sheet	26%	–	–
Pho Hien clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 9.0 7.6 6.3 3.1 1 7.1 12.9 7.7 3.8 2 5.7 7.4 5.1 2.5 3 2.6 3.4 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lam Dong down, Pho Hien across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 600 V.League 2 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: V.League 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Lam Dong at home: 1.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 2). Pho Hien away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.35 goals for Lam Dong, 1.43 for Pho Hien. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · V.League 2 this season · since 11 Sept

LAM DONG

LLWL0–1 · 1–3 · 3–0 · 0–4

PHO HIEN

WLDW2–1 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Thai Nguyen	4	+8	12
2	Hung Yen	4	+12	10
3	Sanna Khanh Hoa	4	+4	8
4	Binh Duong	4	+2	7
5	Pho Hien	4	−1	7
6	Văn Hiến	4	−1	7
7	Dong Thap	4	0	6
8	Than Quang Ninh	4	−1	5
9	Binh Dinh	4	+1	4
10	Ho Chi Minh	4	−1	4
11	Lam Dong	4	−4	3
12	Bóng đá Huế	4	−5	2
13	Long An	4	−4	1
14	Xuan Thien Phu Tho	4	−10	1