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Hung Yen v Long An

Hung Yen
3–1Full time
Long An

V.League 2 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53
Hung Yen 3–1 Long An HUNG YEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Hung Yen win72%
The market said79%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.129
The market’s Brier score0.068

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hung Yen win at 72%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Hung Yen 72% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 71–21–8
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Hung Yen v Long An
  4. 28′A goal for Hung Yen on 27′. 0–0 · 63–27–9
  5. 28′We said Hung Yen at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 1–0 · 91–8–2
  6. 28′⚽ GOAL · 27' Hung Yen 1–0 Long An
  7. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Hung Yen win: 72% at kick-off, 91% now
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 91–8–2
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Hung Yen 1–0 Long An
  10. 45′SECOND HALF Hung Yen 1–0 Long An
  11. 46′Hung Yen ahead on 28′ through N. Nguyen. 1–0. 1–0 · 90–8–1
  12. 51′Long An find the net on 50′. 1–0 · 91–8–1
  13. 52′We said Hung Yen at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 50%. 1–1 · 50–40–9
  14. 52′A goal for Hung Yen on 52′. 1–1 · 50–40–9
  15. 52′⚽ GOAL · 50' Hung Yen 1–1 Long An
  16. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Hung Yen win: 72% at kick-off, 50% now
  17. 53′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 91–8–1
  18. 53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Hung Yen 2–1 Long An
  19. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Hung Yen win: 72% at kick-off, 91% now
  20. 64′Hung Yen are down to ten from 64′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–1 · 92–8–1
  21. 64′🟥 RED CARD · 64' Hung Yen
  22. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Hung Yen win: 72% at kick-off, 92% now
  23. 67′Hung Yen find the net on 67′. 2–1 · 92–7–1
  24. 67′We said Hung Yen at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  25. 67′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  26. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Hung Yen 3–1 Long An
  27. 71′We said Hung Yen at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  28. 90′3–1 at the end. Our 72% on Hung Yen comes in. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  29. FTFULL TIME Hung Yen 3–1 Long An
  30. FTHung Yen 3–1 Long An · Hung Yen win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hung Yen are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hung Yen 72%, draw 20%, Long An 8%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Hung Yen v Long AnBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Hung Yen win72%
Draw20%
Long An win8%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hung Yen

Long An

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · V.League 2

Last match: 18 Oct · V.League 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Hung Yen3+107
12Long An3−21

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hung yen winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:19 · locked at kick-off
72% The market79%
Us72%
Market79%

We make Hung Yen a 72% chance to win. The market has them at 79%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–0.6.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Hung Yen v Long An2.15 – 0.57
Form · V.League 2 this season · since 11 SeptW2 D1 L0 · W0 D1 L2
Table places · points 7 v 13 v 12
The market · Hung Yen win79% · ours 72%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
65%70%75%80%85% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 11:55
Our probability · Hung Yen win The market, margin stripped

Published at 71%, 72% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 79% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Hung Yen win72%79%−7
Draw20%14%+6
Long An win8%7%+1
Over 2.5 goals50%65%−15
Both teams to score38%47%−9
Over 1.5 goals75%86%−11
Over 3.5 goals29%45%−16
Hung Yen or draw92%93%−1
Hung Yen clean sheet58%––
Long An clean sheet13%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 14.6%
0123450 8.8 2.9 1 13.5 8.8 2.3 2 14.6 8.0 2.4 3 10.4 5.7 4 5.8 3.1 5 2.7
under 2% 5% 12%+Hung Yen down, Long An across0–5 goals a side shown (97.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · V.League 2 this season · since 11 Sept

HUNG YEN

WWD3–0 · 8–1 · 1–1

LONG AN

LDL1–2 · 0–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Thai Nguyen4+812
2Sanna Khanh Hoa4+48
3Hung Yen3+107
4Binh Duong4+27
5Pho Hien4−17
6Văn Hiến4−17
7Dong Thap406
8Than Quang Ninh4−15
9Binh Dinh4+14
10Ho Chi Minh3−13
11Lam Dong4−43
12Long An3−21
13Bóng đá Huế3−51
14Xuan Thien Phu Tho4−101

The competition's standings before kick-off.