Dong Thap v Binh Dinh

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dong Thap win at 38%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Dong Thap was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–29–31
3. 1′KICK-OFF Dong Thap v Binh Dinh
4. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Dong Thap win 34%)
5. 45′HALF-TIME Dong Thap 0–0 Binh Dinh
6. 48′SECOND HALF Dong Thap 0–0 Binh Dinh
7. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Dong Thap win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
8. 53′We published Dong Thap at 38%. Our model now makes it 77%. 1–0 · 77–19–4
9. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Dong Thap 1–0 Binh Dinh
10. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Dong Thap win: 38% at kick-off, 77% now
11. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Dong Thap win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 19%)
12. 54′Dong Thap score on 53′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 77–19–4
13. 55′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 77–19–4
14. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Dong Thap win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
15. 61′We published Dong Thap at 38%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
16. 64′We said Dong Thap at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–58–19
17. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Dong Thap 1–1 Binh Dinh
18. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Dong Thap win: 38% at kick-off, 23% now
19. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Dong Thap win 23%)
20. 65′Binh Dinh find the net on 65′. 1–1. 1–1 · 22–59–19
21. 69′Binh Dinh level it on 64′ through T. Long Vu. 1–1. 1–1 · 20–63–17
22. 70′We said Dong Thap at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–16
23. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Dong Thap win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
24. 77′We said Dong Thap at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–74–12
25. 82′A goal for Dong Thap on 82′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 92–8–0
26. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Dong Thap 2–1 Binh Dinh
27. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Dong Thap win: 38% at kick-off, 92% now
28. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Dong Thap win is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Draw 8%)
29. 83′We published Dong Thap at 38%. Our model now makes it 93%. 2–1 · 93–7–0
30. 84′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 94–6–0
31. 86′We published Dong Thap at 38%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
32. 90′Full time, 3–1. We called Dong Thap at 38% — that one lands. 3–1 · 100–0–0
33. 92′A goal for Dong Thap on 90′. 2–1 · 98–2–0 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
34. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Dong Thap win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
35. 93′We published Dong Thap at 38%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
36. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Dong Thap 3–1 Binh Dinh
37. 94′4 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 100–0–0
38. FTFULL TIME Dong Thap 3–1 Binh Dinh
39. FTDong Thap 3–1 Binh Dinh · Dong Thap win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.