Bóng đá Huế v Ho Chi Minh prediction · V.League 2

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:08

Bóng đá Huế 2–2 Ho Chi Minh HO CHI MINH WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ho Chi Minh win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.751

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 15 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Ho Chi Minh win at 40%.
1′Much as we predicted: Ho Chi Minh was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 31–30–40
1′KICK-OFF Bóng đá Huế v Ho Chi Minh
35′Bóng đá Huế score on 35′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 65–22–13
35′We said Ho Chi Minh at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–0 · 65–22–13
35′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 65–22–13
35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Bóng đá Huế 1–0 Ho Chi Minh
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Ho Chi Minh win: 40% at kick-off, 13% now
35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Bóng đá Huế win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Ho Chi Minh win 36%)
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Ho Chi Minh win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
45′HALF-TIME Bóng đá Huế 1–0 Ho Chi Minh
46′SECOND HALF Bóng đá Huế 1–0 Ho Chi Minh
49′We said Ho Chi Minh at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 69–22–9
66′We said Ho Chi Minh at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 76–19–4
67′Bóng đá Huế find the net on 67′. 2–0. 2–0 · 96–4–1
67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Bóng đá Huế 2–0 Ho Chi Minh
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Ho Chi Minh win: 40% at kick-off, under 1% now
70′A goal for Ho Chi Minh on 69′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 79–18–3
70′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 79–18–3
70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Bóng đá Huế 2–1 Ho Chi Minh
76′Ho Chi Minh score on 76′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 13–70–16
76′We said Ho Chi Minh at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 2–2 · 13–70–16
76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Bóng đá Huế 2–2 Ho Chi Minh
76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Ho Chi Minh win: 40% at kick-off, 16% now
76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Bóng đá Huế win 84%)
77′4 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 13–72–15
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Ho Chi Minh win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
FTFULL TIME Bóng đá Huế 2–2 Ho Chi Minh
FTBóng đá Huế 2–2 Ho Chi Minh · Ho Chi Minh win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ho Chi Minh are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bóng đá Huế 31%, draw 29%, Ho Chi Minh 40%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Bóng đá Huế v Ho Chi MinhBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Bóng đá Huế win31%

Draw29%

Ho Chi Minh win40%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:30

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bóng đá Huế

Ho Chi Minh

6Days since last match5

Last match: 18 Oct · V.League 2

Last match: 19 Oct · V.League 1

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Ho Chi Minh	3	−1	3
13	Bóng đá Huế	3	−5	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ho chi minh winFirst published 19 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Ho Chi Minh a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bóng đá Huế v Ho Chi Minh~~1.15 – 1.39

~~Form · V.League 2 this season · since 11 Sept~~W0 D1 L2 · W1 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 1 v 3~~13 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bóng đá Huế win	31%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Ho Chi Minh win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Bóng đá Huế or draw	60%	–	–
Bóng đá Huế clean sheet	28%	–	–
Ho Chi Minh clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%

0123450 11.1 9.4 7.3 3.6 1 8.0 13.2 7.5 3.6 2 5.6 6.7 4.2 3 2.3 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bóng đá Huế down, Ho Chi Minh across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 600 V.League 2 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: V.League 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2022.

Home and away form

Bóng đá Huế at home: 0.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Ho Chi Minh away: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.15 goals for Bóng đá Huế, 1.39 for Ho Chi Minh. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · V.League 2 this season · since 11 Sept

BÓNG ĐÁ HUẾ

LDL0–2 · 1–1 · 1–4

HO CHI MINH

WLL1–0 · 0–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Thai Nguyen	4	+8	12
2	Sanna Khanh Hoa	4	+4	8
3	Hung Yen	3	+10	7
4	Binh Duong	4	+2	7
5	Pho Hien	4	−1	7
6	Văn Hiến	4	−1	7
7	Dong Thap	4	0	6
8	Than Quang Ninh	4	−1	5
9	Binh Dinh	4	+1	4
10	Ho Chi Minh	3	−1	3
11	Lam Dong	4	−4	3
12	Long An	3	−2	1
13	Bóng đá Huế	3	−5	1
14	Xuan Thien Phu Tho	4	−10	1