Binh Dinh v Lam Dong prediction · V.League 2

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 15:01

Binh Dinh 4–0 Lam Dong BINH DINH WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Binh Dinh win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.423

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Binh Dinh win at 47%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Binh Dinh 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–26–27
1′KICK-OFF Binh Dinh v Lam Dong
33′A goal for Binh Dinh on 32′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 74–17–9
33′⚽ GOAL · 32' Binh Dinh 1–0 Lam Dong
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Binh Dinh win: 47% at kick-off, 74% now
34′We said Binh Dinh at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–17–9
35′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 74–17–9
42′We said Binh Dinh at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–8
45′HALF-TIME Binh Dinh 1–0 Lam Dong
45′SECOND HALF Binh Dinh 1–0 Lam Dong
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Binh Dinh win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
63′Binh Dinh find the net on 63′. 1–0 · 79–17–4
64′We said Binh Dinh at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–0 · 96–3–1
64′⚽ GOAL · 63' Binh Dinh 2–0 Lam Dong
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Binh Dinh win: 47% at kick-off, 96% now
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Binh Dinh win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
68′64′: T. Long Vu on the scoresheet for Binh Dinh, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
71′Binh Dinh find the net on 71′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
71′We said Binh Dinh at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Binh Dinh 3–0 Lam Dong
75′A goal for Binh Dinh on 74′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
75′⚽ GOAL · 74' Binh Dinh 4–0 Lam Dong
76′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
79′L. T. Phong scores for Binh Dinh on 75′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME Binh Dinh 4–0 Lam Dong
FTBinh Dinh 4–0 Lam Dong · Binh Dinh win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Binh Dinh are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Binh Dinh 47%, draw 26%, Lam Dong 27%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Binh Dinh v Lam DongBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Binh Dinh win47%

Draw26%

Lam Dong win27%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Binh Dinh

Lam Dong

7Days since last match6

Last match: 16 Oct · V.League 2

Last match: 17 Oct · V.League 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Lam Dong	3	0	3
12	Binh Dinh	3	−3	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · binh dinh winFirst published 18 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Binh Dinh a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Binh Dinh v Lam Dong~~1.76 – 1.31

~~Form · V.League 2 this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D1 L2 · W1 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 1 v 3~~12 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Binh Dinh win	47%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Lam Dong win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Binh Dinh or draw	73%	–	–
Binh Dinh clean sheet	29%	–	–
Lam Dong clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 6.9 4.9 4.0 1 7.3 11.6 6.5 2.9 2 7.4 8.7 5.5 2.4 3 4.3 5.2 3.2 4 2.0 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Binh Dinh down, Lam Dong across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 597 V.League 2 matches up to 22 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: V.League 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2027.

Home and away form

Binh Dinh at home: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Lam Dong away: 1.00 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 1).

What the model expects

1.76 goals for Binh Dinh, 1.31 for Lam Dong. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2027

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2027.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · V.League 2 this season · since 12 Sept

BINH DINH

LDL1–2 · 1–1 · 1–3

LAM DONG

LLW0–1 · 1–3 · 3–0

The table

2027

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Thai Nguyen	3	+7	9
2	Hung Yen	3	+10	7
3	Sanna Khanh Hoa	3	+4	7
4	Binh Duong	3	+3	7
5	Pho Hien	4	−1	7
6	Văn Hiến	4	−1	7
7	Dong Thap	4	0	6
8	Than Quang Ninh	3	−1	4
9	Lam Dong	3	0	3
10	Ho Chi Minh	3	−1	3
11	Long An	3	−2	1
12	Binh Dinh	3	−3	1
13	Bóng đá Huế	3	−5	1
14	Xuan Thien Phu Tho	4	−10	1