Viettel v Bắc Ninh

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Viettel win at 50%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Viettel was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–29–21
3. 1′KICK-OFF Viettel v Bắc Ninh
4. 7′🟨 YELLOW · 7' Bắc Ninh
5. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Viettel
6. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Viettel win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
7. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Bắc Ninh
8. 43′We said Viettel at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–43–19
9. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Viettel win 41%)
10. 45′SECOND HALF Viettel 0–0 Bắc Ninh
11. 46′HALF-TIME Viettel 0–0 Bắc Ninh
12. 49′We published Viettel at 50%. Our model now makes it 82%. 1–0 · 82–15–3
13. 49′Goals are coming at about the 2.1 we expected. 1–0 · 82–15–3
14. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Viettel 1–0 Bắc Ninh
15. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Viettel win: 50% at kick-off, 82% now
16. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Viettel win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 47%)
17. 50′A goal for Viettel on 50′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 83–15–3
18. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Bắc Ninh
19. 60′We published Viettel at 50%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
20. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Bắc Ninh
21. 73′We said Viettel at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 1–1 · 20–69–11
22. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Viettel 1–1 Bắc Ninh
23. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Viettel win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
24. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Draw is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Viettel win 89%)
25. 74′Bắc Ninh score on 74′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 19–71–10
26. 75′We said Viettel at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–72–10
27. 79′We said Viettel at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–78–8
28. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Viettel win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
29. 84′We said Viettel at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 8–87–5
30. 90′We said Viettel at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–2
31. 91′🟥 RED CARD · 90+1' Bắc Ninh
32. 93′A red card for Bắc Ninh on 90′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–1 · 2–97–1
33. 93′We published Viettel at 50%. Our model now makes it 99%. 2–1 · 99–1–0
34. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Viettel 2–1 Bắc Ninh
35. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Viettel win: 50% at kick-off, 99% now
36. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Viettel win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 97%)
37. 94′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.1 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 99–1–0
38. 95′Viettel find the net on 90′. 2–1. 2–1 · 99–1–0
39. 100′4 goals already, more than the 2.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 1–98–1
40. 100′⚽ GOAL · 90+10' Viettel 2–2 Bắc Ninh
41. 100′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+10' Viettel win: 50% at kick-off, 1% now
42. 100′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+10' Draw is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Viettel win 99%)
43. 101′A goal for Bắc Ninh on 90′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 1–98–1
44. 102′2–2 after extra time. Our 50% on Viettel is graded on the score after ninety minutes. 2–2 · 0–100–0
45. FTFULL TIME Viettel 2–2 Bắc Ninh
46. FTViettel 2–2 Bắc Ninh · Viettel win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.