Song Lam Nghe An v Công An Nhân Dân prediction · V.League 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Song Lam Nghe AnDrawCông An Nhân Dân

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Công An Nhân Dân 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Công An Nhân Dân are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Song Lam Nghe An 23%, draw 25%, Công An Nhân Dân 52%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Song Lam Nghe An v Công An Nhân DânBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Song Lam Nghe An win23%

Draw25%

Công An Nhân Dân win52%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 6

VenueVinh Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Song Lam Nghe An

Công An Nhân Dân

8Days since last match9

Last match: 23 Oct · V.League 1

Last match: 22 Oct · V.League 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · công an nhân dân winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Công An Nhân Dân a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Song Lam Nghe An v Công An Nhân Dân~~1.02 – 1.67

~~Form · V.League 1 this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D2 L0 · W3 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 11 v 10~~1 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Song Lam Nghe An win	23%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Công An Nhân Dân win	52%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Song Lam Nghe An or draw	48%	–	–
Song Lam Nghe An clean sheet	19%	–	–
Công An Nhân Dân clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%

0123450 7.5 10.8 9.4 5.3 2.2 1 6.5 12.0 9.5 5.3 2.2 2 3.6 5.9 4.8 2.7 3 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Song Lam Nghe An down, Công An Nhân Dân across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 956 V.League 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: V.League 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.6% of games this season, across 33 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022 in every competition we cover, 2.88 goals a meeting; 3 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Song Lam Nghe An at home: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Công An Nhân Dân away: 1.67 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.02 goals for Song Lam Nghe An, 1.67 for Công An Nhân Dân. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.88

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~CON 4–2 SON · SON 1–1 CON · SON 0–5 CON · SON 1–1 CON

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · V.League 1 this season · since 5 Sept

SONG LAM NGHE AN

WWDDW1–0 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 2–0

CÔNG AN NHÂN DÂN

WWWLD2–0 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Song Lam Nghe An	5	+6	11
2	Nam Dinh	5	+7	10
3	Phu Dong	4	+5	10
4	Công An Nhân Dân	5	+5	10
5	Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh	5	+2	10
6	Ho Chi Minh	4	+2	7
7	Thanh Hóa	5	−1	7
8	Hai Phong	5	+1	6
9	Ha Noi	4	−3	6
10	Bắc Ninh	5	−1	5
11	Viettel	5	−2	4
12	Da Nang	4	−5	3
13	Hoang Anh Gia Lai	5	−6	3
14	Bình Phước	5	−10	1