Phu Dong v Hoang Anh Gia Lai

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Phu Dong win at 63%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Phu Dong 63% before kick-off, 63% now. 0–0 · 63–21–16
3. 1′KICK-OFF Phu Dong v Hoang Anh Gia Lai
4. 2′Phu Dong score on 2′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 84–11–6
5. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Phu Dong 1–0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
6. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Phu Dong win: 63% at kick-off, 84% now
7. 3′We said Phu Dong at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–0 · 84–11–6
8. 3′Hoang Anh Gia Lai find the net on 3′. 1–1. 1–1 · 62–22–16
9. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Phu Dong 1–1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
10. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Phu Dong win: 63% at kick-off, 62% now
11. 6′🟨 YELLOW · 6' Phu Dong
12. 19′Phu Dong are down to ten from 19′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 58–25–17
13. 19′🟥 RED CARD · 19' Phu Dong
14. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Hoang Anh Gia Lai
15. 32′A goal for Hoang Anh Gia Lai on 31′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 27–28–46
16. 32′We said Phu Dong at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–2 · 27–28–46
17. 32′⚽ GOAL · 31' Phu Dong 1–2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
18. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Phu Dong win: 63% at kick-off, 27% now
19. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Hoang Anh Gia Lai win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Phu Dong win 27%)
20. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Phu Dong
21. 37′We said Phu Dong at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–2 · 24–28–48
22. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Phu Dong win: 63% at kick-off, 23% now
23. 40′Phu Dong score on 39′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 51–32–17
24. 40′We said Phu Dong at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 51%. 2–2 · 51–32–17
25. 40′⚽ GOAL · 39' Phu Dong 2–2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
26. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Phu Dong win: 63% at kick-off, 51% now
27. 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Phu Dong win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Hoang Anh Gia Lai win 17%)
28. 41′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 51–32–17
29. 44′We said Phu Dong at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 2–2 · 49–34–17
30. 45′HALF-TIME Phu Dong 2–2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
31. 46′SECOND HALF Phu Dong 2–2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
32. 54′We said Phu Dong at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 2–2 · 44–40–16
33. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Phu Dong win: 63% at kick-off, 43% now
34. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Phu Dong win 40%)
35. 61′We said Phu Dong at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 2–2 · 39–46–15
36. 67′We said Phu Dong at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–52–14
37. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Hoang Anh Gia Lai
38. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Phu Dong win: 63% at kick-off, 33% now
39. 71′Phu Dong find the net on 71′. 3–2. 3–2 · 88–11–1
40. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Phu Dong 3–2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
41. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Phu Dong win: 63% at kick-off, 88% now
42. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Phu Dong win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
43. 72′We said Phu Dong at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 3–2 · 88–11–1
44. 73′5 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 88–11–1
45. 76′We said Phu Dong at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 3–2 · 90–10–1
46. 76′A goal for Hoang Anh Gia Lai on 76′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 24–65–10
47. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Phu Dong 3–3 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
48. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Phu Dong win: 63% at kick-off, 24% now
49. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Phu Dong win 24%)
50. 77′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 23–67–10
51. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Phu Dong win: 63% at kick-off, 23% now
52. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hoang Anh Gia Lai · On: P. B. Vo · Off: Ha Chau Phi
53. 80′We said Phu Dong at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 3–3 · 19–73–8
54. 83′Phu Dong have ten men and Hoang Anh Gia Lai ten after the red cards. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 3–3 · 14–80–6
55. 83′We said Phu Dong at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 3–3 · 14–80–6
56. 83′🟥 RED CARD · 82' Hoang Anh Gia Lai
57. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Phu Dong win: 63% at kick-off, 12% now
58. 87′We said Phu Dong at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 3–3 · 9–86–4
59. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Hoang Anh Gia Lai
60. 90′Phu Dong score on 89′ to make it 4–3. 4–3 · 97–3–0
61. 90′We said Phu Dong at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 4–3 · 97–3–0
62. 90′7 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 4–3 · 97–3–0
63. 90′⚽ GOAL · 89' Phu Dong 4–3 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
64. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Phu Dong win: 63% at kick-off, 97% now
65. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Phu Dong win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 3%)
66. 92′90′: Nguyen Le Phat on the scoresheet for Phu Dong, making it 4–3. 4–3 · 98–2–0
67. FTFULL TIME Phu Dong 4–3 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
68. FTPhu Dong 4–3 Hoang Anh Gia Lai · Phu Dong win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.