Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh v Song Lam Nghe An

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh win at 41%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 41% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–32–28
3. 2′KICK-OFF Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh v Song Lam Nghe An
4. 29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh win 35%)
5. 35′We said Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 0–1 · 10–24–66
6. 35′The goal count is tracking the 2.0 we expected. 0–1 · 10–24–66
7. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 0–1 Song Lam Nghe An
8. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh win: 41% at kick-off, 10% now
9. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Song Lam Nghe An win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Draw 24%)
10. 36′Song Lam Nghe An find the net on 35′. 0–1. 0–1 · 10–24–67
11. 37′We said Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
12. 38′Song Lam Nghe An ahead on 33′ through V. Nguyen Quang. 0–1. 0–1 · 9–24–67
13. 39′We said Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–7–91
14. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 0–2 Song Lam Nghe An
15. 40′A goal for Song Lam Nghe An on 40′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–7–91
16. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
17. 44′3 goals already, more than the 2.0 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 8–23–69
18. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1–2 Song Lam Nghe An
19. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh win: 41% at kick-off, 8% now
20. 45′Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh score on 45′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 8–23–69
21. 45′SECOND HALF Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1–2 Song Lam Nghe An
22. 47′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.0 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 30–48–22
23. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 2–2 Song Lam Nghe An
24. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh win: 41% at kick-off, 30% now
25. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Song Lam Nghe An win 22%)
26. 48′Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh find the net on 48′. 2–2. 2–2 · 30–49–22
27. 48′HALF-TIME Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1–2 Song Lam Nghe An
28. 49′We said Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–49–21
29. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh · On: V. B. Tran · Off: Nguyen Hoang Trung Nguyen
30. 60′We said Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–58–18
31. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
32. 69′We said Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–66–14
33. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Song Lam Nghe An · On: V. L. Dang · Off: A. Tran
34. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Song Lam Nghe An · On: Phan Xuan Dai · Off: Bruno Paraiba
35. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Song Lam Nghe An · On: M. H. Hoang · Off: T. D. Bui
36. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
37. 92′2–2 at the end. Our 41% on Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh misses, and the record keeps it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
38. FTFULL TIME Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 2–2 Song Lam Nghe An
39. FTHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 2–2 Song Lam Nghe An · Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.