Home › Football › V.League 1 › Hoang Anh Gia Lai v Da Nang

Hoang Anh Gia Lai v Da Nang

Hoang Anh Gia Lai

3–0Full time

Da Nang

V.League 1 · SAT 10 OCT · Pleiku Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 13:46

Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3–0 Da Nang HOANG ANH GIA LAI WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hoang Anh Gia Lai win~~40%

~~The market said~~25%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.546

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.864

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 16 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hoang Anh Gia Lai win at 40%.
1′Much as we predicted: Hoang Anh Gia Lai was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–27–33
1′KICK-OFF Hoang Anh Gia Lai v Da Nang
38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1–0 Da Nang
38′⚽ GOAL · 39' Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1–0 Da Nang
40′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Da Nang
45′SECOND HALF Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1–0 Da Nang
49′39′ and it is 1–0: Luann on the scoresheet for Hoang Anh Gia Lai. 1–0 · 73–20–7
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Hoang Anh Gia Lai win: 40% at kick-off, 73% now
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2–0 Da Nang · Luann
52′⚽ GOAL · 53' Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2–0 Da Nang
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3–0 Da Nang · Robson Reis
64′⚽ GOAL · 65' Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3–0 Da Nang
72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Hoang Anh Gia Lai 4–0 Da Nang · Matheus Lucas
73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3–0 Da Nang
77′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Hoang Anh Gia Lai
86′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Hoang Anh Gia Lai
92′🟨 YELLOW · 93' Da Nang
FTFULL TIME Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3–0 Da Nang
FTHoang Anh Gia Lai 3–0 Da Nang · Hoang Anh Gia Lai win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Hoang Anh Gia Lai win40%

Draw28%

Da Nang win33%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 11:00

Venue · Pleiku Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Hoang Anh Gia Lai

Formation not confirmed

25 Tran Trung Kien

5 Julio Cesar

3 Ha Chau Phi

4 Nguyen Quoc Quang Huy

7 Nguyen Thanh Nhan

33 Robson Reis

23 V. N. Hoang

6 Tran Thanh Son

9 Matheus Lucas

10 Luann

16 G. B. Tran

Coach · Trai Le Quang

Substitutes

28 · Nguyen Huu Anh Tai

27 · Phan Nhat Thanh Long

15 · Nguyen Van Trieu

20 · H. M. Cao

1 · B. Huynh Tran

12 · Nguyen Minh Tam

26 · S. Moi

38 · P. B. Vo

22 · Nay Di Dan

Da Nang

Formation not confirmed

91 Bui Tien Dung II

3 M. Fracchia

23 H. P. Nguyen

8 Que Ngoc Hai

17 V. H. Vo Huu

32 Q. D. Le V.

5 Y. Calleros

9 I. Saponjic

36 Nguyen Minh Quang

18 Pham Dinh Duy

28 Vo Nguyen Hoang

Coach · Tuan Le Duc

Substitutes

2 · N. H. Tran

16 · Pham Van Huu

33 · Do Sy Huy

10 · K. Luong

22 · Le Vu Quoc Nhat

37 · V. S. Vu

11 · Phan Van Long

27 · B. Ly

79 · S. H. Mai

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Hoang Anh Gia Lai

Formation not confirmed

25 Tran Trung Kien

5 Julio Cesar

3 Ha Chau Phi

4 Nguyen Quoc Quang Huy

7 Nguyen Thanh Nhan

33 Robson Reis

23 V. N. Hoang

6 Tran Thanh Son

9 Matheus Lucas

10 Luann

16 G. B. Tran

Coach · Trai Le Quang

Substitutes

28 · Nguyen Huu Anh Tai

27 · Phan Nhat Thanh Long

15 · Nguyen Van Trieu

20 · H. M. Cao

1 · B. Huynh Tran

12 · Nguyen Minh Tam

26 · S. Moi

38 · P. B. Vo

22 · Nay Di Dan

Da Nang

Formation not confirmed

91 Bui Tien Dung II

3 M. Fracchia

23 H. P. Nguyen

8 Que Ngoc Hai

17 V. H. Vo Huu

32 Q. D. Le V.

5 Y. Calleros

9 I. Saponjic

36 Nguyen Minh Quang

18 Pham Dinh Duy

28 Vo Nguyen Hoang

Coach · Tuan Le Duc

Substitutes

2 · N. H. Tran

16 · Pham Van Huu

33 · Do Sy Huy

10 · K. Luong

22 · Le Vu Quoc Nhat

37 · V. S. Vu

11 · Phan Van Long

27 · B. Ly

79 · S. H. Mai

Our number · hoang anh gia lai winPublished 10 Oct 11:13

40% The market25%

Us40%

~~Market~~25%

We make Hoang Anh Gia Lai a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 25%. We are 15 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · hoang anh gia lai win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 25% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hoang Anh Gia Lai win	40%	25%	+15
Draw	28%	27%	0
Da Nang win	33%	48%	−15
Over 2.5 goals	46%	47%	−1
Both teams to score	51%	51%	0
Over 1.5 goals	72%	71%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	25%	27%	−2
Hoang Anh Gia Lai or draw	67%	52%	+15
Hoang Anh Gia Lai clean sheet	31%	–	–
Da Nang clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.0%

0123450 8.7 9.1 5.6 2.3 1 10.3 13.0 7.4 3.0 2 7.2 8.3 4.9 3 3.2 3.7 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hoang Anh Gia Lai down, Da Nang across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 939 V.League 1 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

V.League 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

9 previous meetings, 2.11 goals a meeting; 2 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hoang Anh Gia Lai at home: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Da Nang away: 1.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.34 goals for Hoang Anh Gia Lai, 1.18 for Da Nang. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.11

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 9

~~Both scored~~4 of 9

~~Last meetings~~DAN 3–3 HOA · HOA 1–0 DAN · HOA 2–2 DAN · DAN 1–1 HOA

Form · last six in V.League 1

HOANG ANH GIA LAI

LDWLLL0–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 1–3 · 0–4 · 1–3

DA NANG

DWDWLW2–2 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 4–0 · 2–3 · 3–0

The table

2027/28

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Công An Nhân Dân	3	+6	9
2	Phu Dong	2	+4	6
3	Song Lam Nghe An	2	+4	6
4	Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh	3	+1	6
5	Da Nang	2	+2	3
6	Nam Dinh	2	+1	3
7	Ho Chi Minh	2	+1	3
8	Thanh Hóa	2	0	3
9	Bắc Ninh	2	0	3
10	Hai Phong	2	−1	3
11	Viettel	3	−1	3
12	Ha Noi	2	−5	0
13	Hoang Anh Gia Lai	2	−6	0
14	Bình Phước	3	−6	0