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Công An Nhân Dân v Ha Noi
Công An Nhân Dân
Ha NoiV.League 1 · SUN 18 OCT · Hang Day Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Công An Nhân Dân win at 55%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Công An Nhân Dân was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 55–23–23
- 1′KICK-OFF Công An Nhân Dân v Ha Noi
- 18′We said Công An Nhân Dân at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–24–48
- 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Công An Nhân Dân 0–1 Ha Noi
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Công An Nhân Dân win: 55% at kick-off, 27% now
- 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Ha Noi win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Công An Nhân Dân win 27%)
- 19′Ha Noi find the net on 19′. 0–1. 0–1 · 27–24–49
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Công An Nhân Dân win: 55% at kick-off, 25% now
- 27′We said Công An Nhân Dân at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–25–51
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 23–25–51
- 39′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Ha Noi
- 40′We said Công An Nhân Dân at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–26–54
- 41′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Ha Noi
- 45′SECOND HALF Công An Nhân Dân 0–1 Ha Noi
- 46′We said Công An Nhân Dân at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 43–35–22
- 46′A goal for Công An Nhân Dân on 46′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 43–35–22
- 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Công An Nhân Dân 1–1 Ha Noi
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Công An Nhân Dân win: 55% at kick-off, 43% now
- 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Công An Nhân Dân win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Ha Noi win 22%)
- 47′HALF-TIME Công An Nhân Dân 0–1 Ha Noi
- 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Công An Nhân Dân 1–2 Ha Noi
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Công An Nhân Dân win: 55% at kick-off, 16% now
- 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Ha Noi win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Công An Nhân Dân win 16%)
- 49′Ha Noi score on 49′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 16–27–58
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Công An Nhân Dân win: 55% at kick-off, 15% now
- 51′48′: Nguyen Van Tung on the scoresheet for Ha Noi, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 15–27–59
- 52′We said Công An Nhân Dân at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–27–59
- 63′We said Công An Nhân Dân at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–25–66
- 64′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Ha Noi
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Công An Nhân Dân win: 55% at kick-off, 5% now
- 74′We said Công An Nhân Dân at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–75
- 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Ha Noi
- 95′Full time, 1–2. We called Công An Nhân Dân at 55% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–2 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Công An Nhân Dân 1–2 Ha Noi
- FTCông An Nhân Dân 1–2 Ha Noi · Công An Nhân Dân win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Công An Nhân Dân are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Công An Nhân Dân 55%, draw 22%, Ha Noi 23%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Công An Nhân Dân win55%
Ha Noi win23%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:15
RoundMatchday 4
VenueHang Day Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Công An Nhân DânMIN
Ha NoiEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Công An Nhân Dân
Ha Noi
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Công An Nhân Dân
Ha Noi
Last match: 13 Oct · AFC Champions League Elite
Last match: 11 Oct · V.League 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Công An Nhân Dân
Formation not confirmed
1 F. Nguyen
7 J. Pendant
38 L. Adou
12 Hoang Van Toan
11 Le Pham Thanh Long
88 Le Van Do
6 S. Mauk
19 Nguyen Quang Hai
55 F. Putros
72 Alan Grafite
10 Leo Artur
Coach · Alexandre Polking
Substitutes
26 · Ha Van Phuong
18 · Dinh Thanh Binh
15 · Bui Xuan Thinh
4 · N. T. Phan
23 · Vu Thanh Vinh
9 · Nguyen Dinh Bac
Ha Noi
Formation not confirmed
1 V. C. Quan
35 Adriel
22 Nguyen Cong Nhat
16 Nguyen Thanh Chung
7 X. M. Pham
88 Do Hung Dung
36 Y. Sade
9 A. Faurand-Tournaire
10 Nguyen Van Quyet
23 Nguyen Van Tung
6 K. Felida
Coach · –
Substitutes
29 · Nguyen Duc Anh
19 · X. T. Le
17 · Ho Thanh Minh
14 · Nguyen Hai Long
21 · D. H. Vu
3 · Le Van Ha
66 · D. H. Pham
33 · A. T. Nguyen
20 · H. P. Dau
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Công An Nhân Dân
Formation not confirmed
1 F. Nguyen
7 J. Pendant
38 L. Adou
12 Hoang Van Toan
11 Le Pham Thanh Long
88 Le Van Do
6 S. Mauk
19 Nguyen Quang Hai
55 F. Putros
72 Alan Grafite
10 Leo Artur
Coach · Alexandre Polking
Substitutes
26 · Ha Van Phuong
18 · Dinh Thanh Binh
15 · Bui Xuan Thinh
4 · N. T. Phan
23 · Vu Thanh Vinh
9 · Nguyen Dinh Bac
Ha Noi
Formation not confirmed
1 V. C. Quan
35 Adriel
22 Nguyen Cong Nhat
16 Nguyen Thanh Chung
7 X. M. Pham
88 Do Hung Dung
36 Y. Sade
9 A. Faurand-Tournaire
10 Nguyen Van Quyet
23 Nguyen Van Tung
6 K. Felida
Coach · –
Substitutes
29 · Nguyen Duc Anh
19 · X. T. Le
17 · Ho Thanh Minh
14 · Nguyen Hai Long
21 · D. H. Vu
3 · Le Van Ha
66 · D. H. Pham
33 · A. T. Nguyen
20 · H. P. Dau
We make Công An Nhân Dân a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Công An Nhân Dân win | 55% | 58% | −3 |
| Draw | 22% | 22% | 0 |
| Ha Noi win | 23% | 20% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 63% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 61% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 82% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 42% | −2 |
| Công An Nhân Dân or draw | 77% | 80% | −3 |
| Công An Nhân Dân clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Ha Noi clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2022Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · V.League 1 this season · since 5 Sept
CÔNG AN NHÂN DÂN
HA NOI
The table
2027| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Công An Nhân Dân | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 | Song Lam Nghe An | 4 | +4 | 8 |
| 3 | Phu Dong | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 4 | Nam Dinh | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 5 | Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 | Hai Phong | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | Thanh Hóa | 4 | −1 | 6 |
| 8 | Ho Chi Minh | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 | Viettel | 3 | −1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bắc Ninh | 3 | −1 | 3 |
| 11 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 3 | −3 | 3 |
| 12 | Ha Noi | 3 | −4 | 3 |
| 13 | Da Nang | 4 | −5 | 3 |
| 14 | Bình Phước | 3 | −6 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Song Lam Nghe An
Phu Dong
Nam Dinh
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
Hai Phong
Thanh Hóa
Ho Chi Minh
Viettel
Bắc Ninh
Hoang Anh Gia Lai
Da Nang
Bình Phước